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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Muniz vs. Fabinski at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Andre Muniz vs. Bartosz Fabinski at UFC Fight Night.

Poland face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 04, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Two impressive middleweights take to the octagon on Saturday night when Andre Muniz takes on Bartosz Fabinski as part of UFC on ESPN 9 live from Las Vegas.

Muniz is 19-4 with 15 career stoppages. Winning his way into the promotion with two wins at Dana White’s Contender Series, he opened his UFC career with a unanimous decision over Antonio Arroyo. “Sergipano” has won 13 of his last 14 fights and is 30-years-old. Though he landed less strikes in his only full UFC bout so far, he had three takedowns and two submission attempts.

“The Butcher” Fabinski is 15-3, and 3-1 in the UFC so far. He’s from Warsaw, Poland and has won eight of his last nine fights. His most recent fight came in the Cage Warriors promotion because both he and opponent Darren Stewart are based in Europe, a unanimous decision win. In a UFC octagon he’s averaged a whopping 7.17 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time, including 10 alone against Garreth McLellan in his first UFC bout in 2015.

Here are the betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Andre Muniz vs. Bartosz Fabinski at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 5th:

Betting splits

Andre Muniz: +132 (48% of action, 51% of bets)
Bartosz Fabinski: -165 (52% of action, 49% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Andre Muniz vs. Bartosz Fabinski tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Andre Muniz: $7,600
Bartosz Fabinski: $8,600

The activity level on Fabinski is elite, earning 108 DFS points per fight in his first three outings. If he wins he scores big, and on a card where getting to the full cap might be an issue, spending $8,600 here makes plenty of sense.

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