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Two light heavyweights wanting to separate themselves at 205 pounds face off as veteran Ed Herman takes on Mike Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 10 this Saturday live on ESPN+.
Herman is 25-14 as an MMA fighter and has been on the UFC roster since 2006. “Short Fuse” has 13 submissions and seven KO/TKO’s on his resume, averaging 3.33 strikes per minute and 2.20 takedowns per 15 minutes. At age 39, the Gracie Barra fighter out of Portland, Oregon hasn’t competed in 2020 yet, but has won his last two bouts over Patrick Cummins and Khadis Ibragimov.
“Slo Mike” Rodriguez has been picking up the pace here after a first round KO just three weeks ago on August 22nd over Marcin Prachnio. The 32-year-old is 2-2-1 in the UFC and 11-4-1 overall, with all 11 victories coming via stoppage including nine by KO/TKO. The 31-year-old from Boston has averaged 4.59 significant strikes per minute in his UFC career, but has yet to execute a takedown of an opponent.
Here are the latest betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Ed Herman vs. Mike Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 12th:
Betting splits
Ed Herman: +205 (16% of action, 21% of bets)
Mike Rodriguez: -265 (84% of action, 79% of bets)
Outcome Splits
Herman vs. Rodriguez Winning Method
| Outcome | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Ed Herman By KO, TKO or DQ | +700 | 79% | 9% |
| Ed Herman By Submission | +1100 | 3% | 5% |
| Mike Rodriguez By Decision | +400 | 1% | 9% |
| Mike Rodriguez By KO, TKO or DQ | -134 | 11% | 64% |
| Mike Rodriguez By Submission | +1800 | 5% | 9% |
| Tie | +6600 | 2% | 5% |
| Ed Herman By Decision | +400 | 0% | 0% |
DraftKings DFS Salaries
Ed Herman: $7,400
Mike Rodriguez: $8,800
Rodriguez has value, as his last two knockouts have averaged 119.5 DFS points and he’s a big favorite here. The style of these fighters lends itself to an early stoppage, but it’s a good enough spot where it’s worth to pay the extra cap value for Slo Mike and hope he can pick up his first UFC performance bonus.
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