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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Kim vs. Grasso at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Ji Yeon Kim vs. Alexa Grasso at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Ji Yeon Kim of South Korea and Alexa Grasso of Mexico face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 28, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

At UFC Fight Night this evening, two fighters in Ji Yeon Kim and Alexa Grasso that are ranked #14 will face off. Kim holds the position in the flyweight division, while Grasso does at strawweight, but is moving up to 125 lbs. to meet her opponent at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Kim is 9-2-2 with a 3-2 record in the UFC, and hasn’t fought since am October 2019 second-round KO win over Nadia Kassem. It’s the only fight she’s had in the promotion that hasn’t gone the distance, but has five stoppages in her career. She’s a standup fighter that isn’t afraid to swing, with 4.49 strikes per minute and zero takedowns attempted in the UFC, and taking 4.74 strikes as well.

Grasso is 11-3, and returns to the ring for the first time since September of last year, a majority draw loss to Carla Esparza. She’s 3-3 in the UFC without a stoppage, but holds four KO’s in her career. Even more active than her opponent with a 5.25 strikes per minute rate, and only one takedown attempted in her six UFC bouts, she’s favored despite giving up two inches of height and six inches of reach to her opponent.

Here are the betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Ji Yeon Kim vs. Alexa Grasso at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 29th.

Betting splits

Ji Yeon Kim: +233 (32% of action, 24% of bets)
Alexa Grasso: -305 (68% of action, 76% of bets)

Outcome Splits

Kim vs. Grasso

Outcome Odds Handle Bets
Outcome Odds Handle Bets
Ji Yeon Kim by Decision +350 0% 6%
Ji Yeon Kim +1000 7% 4%
Alexa Grasso By Submission +1000 0% 1%
Alexa Grasso By KO, TKO or DQ +700 7% 9%
Alexa Grasso By Decision -177 44% 66%
Ji Yeon Kim by Submission +1600 41% 13%
Tie +5000 0% 0%

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Ji Yeon Kim vs. Alexa Grasso tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Ji Yeon Kim: $7,100
Alexa Grasso: $9,100

This might not be a long fight, but it should have plenty of action. Kim is far more active, but Grasso is a big favorite despite only breaking triple digits once in her six UFC fights. There might be better value to play in other places on the card.

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