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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Saenz vs. Martinez at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Frankie Saenz and Jonathan Martinez face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on July 31, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Two bantamweights looking to get out of the mid-card area face off this evening as Frankie Saenz takes on Jonathan Martinez live from Las Vegas and the UFC Apex facility. Martinez will forfeit 30% of his purse to Saenz because he missed weight for this fight by being 4.5 over the bantamweight limit of 136 lbs.

Saenz enters with a 12-6 record, 5-4 in the UFC. The former Arizona State and Northern Colorado wrestler has no stoppages in the UFC, but averages 3.97 strikes per minute and 1.77 takedowns per three rounds. His last fight was in March of 2019 where he was knocked out in the first round by Marlon Vera.

Martinez is 11-3, and 2-2 in the UFC. With eight career stoppages, the 26-year-old out of Plainview, Texas averages 3.67 strikes per minute and 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes. His last fight was a controversial split decision loss to Andre Ewell at UFC 247 in February, and he prefers to fight in the standup.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 1st.

Betting splits

Frankie Saenz: +200 (11% of action, 40% of bets)
Jonathan Martinez: -250 (89% of action, 60% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Frankie Saenz: $7,600
Jonathan Martinez: $8,600

This should be a classic matchup of grappler vs. striker, and the grappler is the underdog which often makes for a daily fantasy scoring opportunity. But both of these fighters average just over 55 DFS points per outing, which isn’t great no matter who the winner is. With plenty of other opportunities available, this is one you can leave off your roster this evening.

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