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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Correia vs. Kianzad at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Bethe Correia vs. Pannie Kianzad at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Bethe Correia of Brazil and Pannie Kianzad of Iran face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 4:40 p.m.: While some light action has come in on the veteran Correia, she’s still a decent-sized underdog in the fight. The bet splits are updated here:

Bethe Correia: Opened +108, now +131 (13% of handle, 43% of bets)
Pannie Kianzad: Opened -134, now -162 (87% of handle, 57% of bets)

A veteran women’s bantamweight serves as gatekeeper as Bethe Correia takes on Pannie Kianzad live from UFC on ESPN 14 this Saturday on Fight Island tonight in Abu Dhabi’s Flash Forum.

Correia has been annoying people like in the title picture here for seven years in the UFC, but still hasn’t achieved much success. She enters this fight ranked #13 in the weight class, but has lost every big fight including to Ronda Rousey (first round KO) and Holly Holm (third round KO). Her 11-4-1 record only has two stoppage wins, though she lands 4.47 strikes per minute.

Kianzad is 12-5, but also doesn’t have much stopping power with just three career KO’s. She’s split her first two fights on the main roster in the UFC, both via unanimous decision. Her win over Jessica-Rose Clark in November was the first for the Iranian that fights out of Sweden. She lands 4.03 strikes per minute and has completed only one takedown in 30 minutes of octagon time so far.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Bethe Correia vs. Pannie Kianzad at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Bethe Correia: Opened +108, now +131 (9% of handle, 50% of bets)
Pannie Kianzad: Opened -134, now -162 (91% of handle, 50% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Bethe Correia vs. Pannie Kianzad tonight:

Bethe Correia: $7,800
Pannie Kianzad: $8,400

This is a terrible fight for fantasy purposes. Kianzad did get 79 points in a decision win her last time out, but she’s in against a better opponent tonight. And that opponent hasn’t gotten a stoppage in six years. Correia averages just 49.4 DFS points in her UFC career, and there’s just much stronger options on this card. This is a punt.

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