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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Boser vs. Pessoa at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Tanner Boser vs. Raphael Pessoa Nunes at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Tanner Boser of Canada and Raphael Pessoa of Brazil face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update: 4:37 p.m.: Even more action comes in on the Canadian Boser, and the line has moved towards him as an even bigger favorite as we’re less than 30 minutes from the start of the card.

Tanner Boser: Opened -240, now -278 (87% of handle, 88% of bets)
Raphael Pessoa: Opened +185, now +220 (13% of handle, 12% of bets)

Two knockout-seeking heavyweights get in the octagon tonight when Tanner Boser takes on Raphael Pessoa at UFC on ESPN 14 from Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.

Boser is 18-6 overall, with a 2-1 mark in the UFC. He lands 4.28 strikes per minute and has never even attempted a takedown in the octagon. Just four weeks ago he knocked out Philipe Lins at 2:41 of the first round in Las Vegas, and decided on a quick turnaround fight in Abu Dhabi. Fighting out of Alberta, Canada, he has 11 career stoppages, but has only been stopped once with other five defeats by decision. He’s a brawler that comes in at 235 pounds for this fight.

Pessoa is 10-1 career with seven stoppages, his only defeat coming in his first fight in the UFC, a loss to Ciryl Gane last August. He beat Jeff Hughes last December in a unanimous decision to break his promotion maiden, out punching his opponent 39-34 during three rounds. He’s also never attempted a takedown or been put on the mat himself.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Tanner Boser vs. Raphael Pessoa at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Tanner Boser: Opened -240, now -265 (85% of handle, 87% of bets)
Raphael Pessoa: Opened +185, now +209 (15% of handle, 13% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Tanner Boser vs. Raphael Pessoa tonight:

Tanner Boser: $8,900
Raphael Pessoa: $7,300

Boser has some thunder in his fists, the line is moving towards him, and when he wins he scores: He picked up 111 points over Philipe Lins just 28 days ago in a first-round win. His other UFC win scored 77 points in a three-round decision behind 93 strikes landed.

The Canadian looked outstanding just a month ago, and at 28 years old could be rounding into shape as a competitor. He should make plenty of DFS rosters this evening, and with good reason at a reasonable price considering his potential and odds.

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