clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Whittaker vs. Till at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Robert Whittaker of New Zealand and Darren Till of England face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 3:35 p.m.: It appears most of the late money has come in on the favored Whittaker as we get closer to fight time. Here are the updated money line bet splits:

Robert Whittaker: Opened -120, now -130 (71% of handle, 63% of bets)
Darren Till: Opened -105, now +107 (29% of handle, 37% of bets)

The winning method table below is also updated.

A pair of top-ranked middleweights are the main event of UFC Fight Night tonight when #1 Robert Whittaker faces #5 Darren Till on Fight Island as part of UFC on ESPN 14 this Saturday, July 25th.

Whittaker is 20-5 in MMA, but his loss to Israel Adesanya in his first full title defense after beating former champion Yoel Romero twice cost him the strap. Before that defeat he had won nine straight fights in the UFC, building up a reputation as one of the best pound-for-pound competitors in the sport.

Whittaker looks to avenge a knockout loss to Adesanya in his native Australia as soon as possible, but has to go through Till to remain the top contender. He averages 4.77 strikes per minute and an 84% takedown defense.

Till is ranked #5, and “The Gorilla” is 18-2-1 overall, 6-2-1 in the UFC. He only lands 2.38 strikes per minute, but has 10 knockouts and two submissions in his 18 wins, though mostly in his pre-UFC career. The 27-year-old from Liverpool, England was submitted by Tyron Woodley at welterweight in his only UFC title shot in September of 2018.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Robert Whittaker: Opened -120, now -130 (63% of handle, 56% of bets)
Darren Till: Opened -105, now +107 (37% of handle, 44% of bets)

Winning method

Whittaker-Till Winning Method

Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Darren Till By Decision +350 10% 8%
Darren Till By KO, TKO or DQ +225 26% 23%
Darren Till By Submission +2000 2% 3%
Robert Whittaker By Decision +260 24% 24%
Robert Whittaker By KO, TKO or DQ +240 34% 37%
Robert Whittaker By Submission +1200 3% 4%
Tie +5000 1% 1%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till tonight:

Robert Whittaker: $8,300
Darren Till: $7,900

If there’s a DFS side to lean in this fight, it would seem to be with the favorite and former champ. Whittaker is more active statistically, has 14 stoppages in his 20 victories, and is gaining steam late as we get closer to fight time. “Bobby Knuckles” can score in quantity, while you’ll likely need Till to catch Whittaker on the chin to get a stoppage the other way.

There’s likely better DFS value on the card here, but the extra $400 in salary is worth it for the #1 contender in this fight.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN) or 1-800-522-4700(NH/CO). NH/NJ/WV/IN/PA/CO only. 21+ (18+ NH). Eligibility Restrictions Apply. See website for details.