The tool allows us to toggle the tease total to see how a play has performed against various numbers.
Teaser odds: +133
The Magic and Spurs are splitting the handle for the spread bets in this one so far. However, the public is backing San Antonio at +10.5 while the sharps appear to be with Orlando at -10.5. While the Spurs have received 63% of bets as of writing, Orlando has only gotten 37%. Yet, the betting splits show the handle is a 50-50 split.
That may have to do with the Magic having won by double digits in 7 of the 11 home games in which they’ve been favored. Still, backing a team to win by double digits is risky — as I’ve mentioned many times this season and will continue to. That said, I do like teasing favorites by four points when they’re favored by 9.5 to 12.5 (like we did with Cleveland on Wednesday).
A big help here is San Antonio is both on the road and on the second leg of a back-to-back. In this setting, they’re 1-3 ATS. Across the league, road dogs on the second leg of a back-to-back are only 42-51-1 ATS.
This is only the second time the Magic are home favorites against a dog on the second leg of a back-to-back (0-1 ATS). However, when zooming out a bit on the factors at play, we see that they’ve faced opponents that are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back on six occasions in total, going 4-2 ATS.
With Julius Randle out, Jalen Brunson’s ankle injury is amplified — regardless of whether or not he plays Thursday. That doesn’t mean New York is just going to roll over for Dallas, but the Mavericks are in a spot they love.
As road favorites, Dallas is 9-2 both ATS and straight-up. Additionally, the Mavericks are 10-5 straight-up against Eastern Conference teams. With Luka Doncic probable and the Knicks hobbled, Dallas’ success in this setting can’t be ignored.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.