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NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Network analyst Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

Sacramento Kings v Chicago Bulls Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbook’s Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.


SYSTEM: Road ATS underdogs after not playing the previous day

There has been a significant surge in this system recently. Throughout the season, this system has only gone 189-181-7. However, it did have a strong start to the season before experiencing a serious dip in December (as seen in this season-long table below). It’s experienced a few spikes since, and the recent 16-9 stretch over the last seven days is the play’s latest.

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Two games fit this system on Monday:

  • SAC @ CLE
  • GSW @ BKN

The Kings and Warriors are the two best teams against the spread when playing as road underdogs at 8-3 and 9-4, respectively. When rested in this setting, the Kings are 7-2 ATS and the Warriors are 7-3 ATS.

Two solid options, but Golden State is also facing a Nets team that’s 9-3 ATS as home favorites. Brooklyn is also 7-2 ATS when in that setting against a rested opponent.

The Cavs haven’t been as good as Brooklyn, but they’re still 11-7 ATS as home favorites. However, they’re only 9-7 ATS as home favs when their opponent is rested. And last but not least, Cleveland is 3-4 ATS as a home favorite when facing a West opponent.

POTENTIAL SYSTEM MATCHES: Road underdogs ATS after not playing the previous day

2/5 2/6 2/7 2/8 2/9 2/10 2/11
2/5 2/6 2/7 2/8 2/9 2/10 2/11
SAC @ CLE HOU @ IND TOR @ CHA DAL @ NYK ATL @ PHI OKC @ DAL BOS @ MIA
GSW @ BKN MEM @ NYK CLE @ WAS MIN @ MIL HOU @ TOR DET @ LAC SAC @ OKC
ORL @ MIA ATL @ CEL CHI @ MEM WAS @ BOS SA @ BKN
MIN @ CHI GSW @ PHI UTA @ PHX CHA @ MIL MEM @ CHA
OKC @ UTA SA @ MIA DEN @ LAL NOP @ LAL CHI @ ORL
MIL @ PHX DET @ SAC IND @ NYK
NOP @ LAC CLE @ TOR
HOUR @ ATL
PHX @ GSW

SYSTEM PICK FOR FEBRUARY 5

SAC +4.5


SYSTEM: Under on Total when favorite is coming off a win

This play is 223-205-7 on the season, so it’s been just under break-even. It would even be near break-even if not for the strength of its performance over the last month of games. Over the last 30 days, the system is 80-53-1. In the last seven days, it’s gone 21-13, which is a slightly better rate than the month-long trend, but it’s still in the same ballpark. So, this system has been working well for a bit.

Five games fit this system on Monday:

  • CLE vs. SAC
  • LAL at CHA
  • LAC at ATL
  • BKN vs. GSW
  • NOP vs. TOR

While the over is 53-41-1 when favorites are on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, LAC-ATL is my preferred play. Road favorites are 9-3 to the under on the second leg of a back-to-back over the last 30 days and 18-15-1 to the under on the season.

Furthermore, the Clippers are 6-12 to the under as road favorites this season. If that wasn’t enough, the average total output of those 18 games is 229.1 points, which is well off the mark of this game’s total.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because this play is dependent on the outcome of the favorite’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR FEBRUARY 5

LAC-ATL under 242 points


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.