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NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

Chicago Bulls v Charlotte Hornets Photo by David Jensen/Getty Images

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbooks’ Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.

UPDATE:

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 10

CHA +7.5

SAS-DET over 238

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 9

DET +11

SAC-DET over 240


SYSTEM: Home team ATS after not playing the previous day

Rested home underdogs were cooking last week for us, going 8-3 ATS after last week’s version of this article went live (10-3 since the start of 2024). We’re going to expand things with a broader, but still related, system this week.

Over the last week of games, all home teams that didn’t play the previous day have gone 29-16-1. Now, home underdogs in that setting have made up for a significant portion of that success — and may be where I lean more heavily still — but favorites in this setting have also covered over 57% of the time over the last seven days.

On Monday, there are five teams that fit this system. I’m going with Indiana in the wake of their 17-point loss to the same team they’ll face Monday. Both teams were on the second leg of a back-to-back in their previous meeting, so the system we’re highlighting wasn’t in play. Furthermore, on top of the highlighted system being in play Monday, the Celtics are 4-8 ATS when playing as a road favorite against an underdog that’s playing on one day’s rest.

SYSTEM MATCHES: Home team ATS after not playing the previous day

1/8 1/9 1/10 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14
1/8 1/9 1/10 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14
IND vs. BOS ORL vs. MIN CHA vs. SAC CLE vs. BKN** PHI vs. SAC BOS vs. HOU DEN vs. IND
WAS vs. OKC DET vs. SAC BOS vs. MIN MIL vs. BOS ATL vs. IND MIL vs. GSW MIA vs. CHA
CHA vs. CHI NYK vs. POR IND vs. WAS DAL vs. NYK DET vs. HOU OKC vs. ORL MIN vs. LAC
MIA vs. HOU DAL vs. MEM ATL vs. PHI LAL vs. PHO MIN vs. POR DAl vs. NOP POR vs. PHO
MIL vs. UTA LAL vs. TOR MIA vs. OKC MIA vs. ORL
GSW vs. NOP MEM vs. LAC
UTA vs. DEN CHI vs. GSW
LAC vs. TOR UTA vs. TOR
DEN vs. NOP
SA vs. CHA

(**NOTE: BKN-CLE will be played in Paris, France.)

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 8

IND +3.5


SYSTEM: Over on total when road favorite is coming off a loss

This doesn’t have a large sample size over the last week of games (3-2), but it’s got a hit rate of 61.54% (16-10) over the last 30 days. That’s brought the season-long success rate up to 56.76% (42-32).

There’s only one choice for this system on Monday. OKC has only been in this setting once, and the over did hit in that game. But another number we can look to: When this system is in play for a non-conference game that features a West favorite, the over is 9-5 (64.3%). Also, the over is 2-1 when the Wizards are a non-conference dog. All told, the over is 18-11-1 in non-conference games that feature a West favorite.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because odds are unavailable as of writing and this play is also dependent on the outcome of the favorite’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 8

OKC-WAS over 246.5


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.