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NBA Picks for January 3: Basketball Best Bets, Predictions, Odds on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar provides NBA betting trends along with his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for January 3.

Detroit Pistons v Houston Rockets Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

The Trending NBA Betting Systems article from earlier in the week has been updated with a play, but we’re going to add a couple more here.


Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Nets

Alperen Sengun over 23.5 points -110

Outside of one cold stretch from early to mid-December, Houston’s young big man has been great against his points prop this season at 22-9 to the over. With the Rockets hosting Brooklyn after the Nets played in New Orleans on Tuesday, Sengun is once again in a spot to go over his points prop.

One thing that’s particularly interesting about Sengun’s points prop on Wednesday is it’s a dip from his previous game’s mark. That’s not something that’s happened often with him this season when the over hit in the previous game, and it might feel like an indication that the under is due to hit since Sengun is riding a six-game over streak against his points prop. However, there’s a reason the over still remains the play: The over has hit in each of the three instances which Sengun has had his points prop decrease after he hit the over in his previous game this season.


Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings

Total over 231 points -108

This game total has had some very interesting movement, as much as the current number (as of writing) is only half a point lower than the opening mark. The current number is the lowest this total has been, but it did climb up to 233.5 at one point. Since reaching that peak, it’s mostly been a steady decrease (although, at one point, the total went from 232 to 232.5, but it then went back to declining). Might be worth monitoring to see if you can get an even lower number, but I’m happy with this already decreased mark.

These two teams have both been around .500 in terms of the total this season. However, there’s a great system that applies to this one. The Kings just played Charlotte on Tuesday, and they’re now favored vs. Orlando. Home favorites playing on the second leg of a back-to-back are 27-15 to the over this season. Furthermore, Orlando played on Tuesday, as well. Underdogs playing on the second leg of a back-to-back are 50-40-4 to the over this season.

Let’s take it a step further since both teams are on the second leg of a back-to-back. When both teams are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, the over is 6-2. Last season, the over went 21-14 in this setting.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.