The Trending NBA Betting Systems article from earlier in the week has been updated with a play, but we’re going to add a couple more here.
Favorites playing on the second leg of a back-to-back this season have seen the over on their game’s total hit over 58% of the time (42-29-1). Over a 72-game sample size, this is a system that has to be considered whenever it’s in play.
On top of that, the over has hit over 54% of the time when a team is playing on the second leg of a back-to-back after hitting the over in the previous game. That’s the scenario the Kings find themselves in.
As for the Hornets, they have another system in play that makes this an appealing option. The under hit when Charlotte played the Bulls on Monday. When a team is coming off an under hit and also facing a team that’s on the second leg of a back-to-back, the over has hit over 56% of the time. Dig a little deeper, and we find that the over is 21-8 (72.4%) when the rested team in this scenario is an underdog.
Indiana Pacers -4 vs. Washington Wizards
As I’ve done (almost) every Thursday this season, I’m sticking with four-point teasers here as we alter some spreads.
Kicking things off with the Eastern Conference game, the Pacers are easy to like in this spot — even without Tyrese Haliburton. They’re one of the best teams ATS at 21-16. The Wizards aren’t quite a coin flip ATS at 17-19, but they aren’t too far off. But where this play gets even more appealing is the Pacers are 18-11 ATS against conference opponents this season. Washington is 12-16 ATS against conference opponents, which is more of a deviation from being a coin flip.
As for the Clippers’ side of this play, they’ve done a great job taking advantage of the scenario they’re in Wednesday. They’re 6-1 ATS when playing as a favorite against a team on the second leg of a back-to-back. Moreover, each of those covers has been by double digits; not that we need them to thrive to that degree, but it does further justify the fact that they’re playing as 10-point favorites. And if that wasn’t enough, the Raptors are 2-4 ATS when playing on the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.