clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NFL Betting Trends: Betting Stats for Every Wild Card Weekend Game on DraftKings Sportsbook

Zach Thompson provides top betting trends and stats to help you place Wild Card Weekend NFL bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

NFL: JAN 07 Rams at 49ers Photo by Bob Kupbens/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

After an 18-week regular season, 12 teams are ready to start their postseason round this weekend while the Ravens and 49ers enjoy the bye week before joining the fray next week. The six games are spread throughout the weekend starting with a Saturday doubleheader and finishing with a Monday Night Football showdown.

The first playoff game of the year kicks off in Houston on Saturday afternoon, where the upstart Texans host the Browns. The Chiefs and Dolphins meet at Arrowhead Stadium in the nightcap in a rematch of their regular-season game in Germany. On Sunday, the tripleheader begins with the Steelers visiting the Bills in Orchard Park after the Bills claimed the AFC East with a big win last Sunday night. The meet of Sunday’s sandwich is a classic matchup between the Cowboys and Packers, followed by a Sunday Night Football grudge match between the Lions and Rams as swapped quarterbacks face their former squads. The weekend packed with action wraps up with the Eagles visiting the Buccaneers on Monday.

Each week to help you find the stats and trends that matter, this post includes the key info for every matchup from DraftKings Sportsbook. You can use these numbers to fill out your Wild Card Weekend betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay.

All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.



Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

The Texans will play on Saturday for the second week in a row after winning SU/ATS over the Colts last week and claiming the AFC South with the Jaguars’ loss on Sunday. The Texans’ turnaround under first-year coach DeMeco Ryans and rookie QB C.J. Stroud has been remarkable, but they come into this game as home underdogs. The Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last six games and 7-2 SU in their last 10. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against the Browns and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.

On the other side, the Browns are 4-1 SU/4-1 ATS in their last five games after resting their starters last week in a loss to the Bengals. The Browns are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the Texans, but they have gone 4-1 SU in their last five meetings. Cleveland is also 10-0 SU in its last 10 games vs. the AFC South.

The over is 9-0 in the Browns’ last nine road games and 6-1 in their last seven overall; however, the under is 6-2 in the Texans’ last eight games and 4-1 in their last five home games.


Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

The Dolphins lost last Sunday night to the Bills, so they have to travel to Kansas City on a short week instead of hosting a playoff game. The Dolphins are still 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games but are only 2-7 SU in their last nine games in January. They are 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Chiefs and 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games in KC.

The Chiefs are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games and had a chance to rest their starters last week. They are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games vs. the AFC and 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs. the AFC East.

The under is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last five games overall, 5-0 in their last five home games and 5-1 in their last six games in January. On the other hand, the over is 5-0 in the Dolphins’ last five Saturday matchups and 12-4 in their last 16 road games.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

The Steelers are the biggest underdogs of the week after beating the Ravens SU/ATS last Saturday and getting into the playoffs when the Jaguars lost on Sunday. The Steelers are 13-7 SU/13-7 ATS in their last 20 games and 11-4 SU/11-4 ATS in their last 15 matchups with the Bills. They also went 6-4 SU/6-4 ATS as the underdog this season and are 5-1 ATS in their last six January games.

Buffalo earned a home game by beating the Dolphins last week and are 5-0 SU in their last five games. Even though they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games, they are 5-1 SU in their last six games vs. the AFC and 6-3 SU in their last nine vs. the AFC South. The Bills are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite and 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as double-digit favorites (including playoffs).

The under is 7-3 in the Bills’ last 10 games overall and 6-1 in their last seven home games. The under is also 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams and 7-2 in the Steelers’ last nine road games.


Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

The Packers needed a win to get into the playoffs in Week 18 and got it by dispatching the Bears, 17-9. They went 6-2 SU in their last eight games to finish the season and are 5-2 SU in their last seven games vs. the NFC. They have also had recent success against Dallas, going 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against the Cowboys and 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

The Cowboys have won 16 straight home games, so winning the NFC East due to the Eagles’ struggles was a huge advantage for them. They are 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall and 7-0 SU in their last seven vs. the NFC. On the other hand, the Cowboys are only 2-4 ATS in their last six games and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games played in January.

The over is 5-0 in the Packers' last five road games and 6-1 in their last seven overall. the over is also 11-4 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games vs. the NFC North but only 1-4 in their last five games overall.


Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

In Matthew Stafford’s return to Detroit, his new team, the Rams come in as the underdog. They are 7-1 SU in their last eight games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after winning SU/ATS against the 49ers last week in a game that didn’t have the regular starters for either team. They are 6-0 SU in their last six games vs. the NFC but only 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC North.

The Lions return to the playoffs on an impressive roll. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games, 14-5 SU in their last 19 games and 6-1 SU in their last seven home games. However, Detroit is only 1-5 SU in its last six vs. the NFC West.

This game has the highest over/under of the weekend, and the over is 11-3 in the last seven weeks for these two teams. The over is also 4-2 in the last six meetings between these teams in Detroit.


Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Relevant Records

Betting Trends

The Eagles didn’t exactly soar into the playoffs. They stumbled down the stretch going 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in their last six games. They are also just 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Bucs and 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. the NFC. The one good trend for the Eagles is that they are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games played on Monday.

The Bucs also backed into the playoffs a little bit losing to the Saints in Week 17 and struggling to beat the Panthers in Week 18. They are 5-1 SU in their last six games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games, though, and have gone 10-3 SU in their last 13 games in January. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as the underdog but only 1-6 ATS in its last seven Monday matchups.

The under is 12-6 in the Bucs’ last 18 games and 7-0 in their last seven vs. the NFC East. The under is also 7-1 in the Eagles’ last eight road games and 6-1 in their last seven games vs. the NFC South.


Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.