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NFL Betting Systems for Week 14: Football Picks, Best Bets, Odds on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar examines the best betting systems that are in play for Week 14 of the NFL season.

Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings Photo by Todd Rosenberg/Getty Images

With this article, I’m highlighting the new Systems feature available in DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub. Check out the feature for yourself to find appealing systems in play this week!

Speaking of new DraftKings Sportsbook tools, customers can now utilize the new Search function on the DraftKings Sportsbook app to find DK Network articles and bets — all in one place!

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


System: Road favorites ATS

Hope you all didn’t miss out on this system in Week 13 when DKN’s own Emerson Lotzia highlighted it here. Because guess what? Road favorites got after again in Week 13. Would’ve been a perfect 7-0 week for the system, if not for Kansas City’s defense looking like Swiss cheese vs. Green Bay.

The recent stretch of success for this play has been huge in turning this into a quality season-long play. Prior to this 17-7 run over the last four weeks, the play was just 25-24-5 on the season. But at 42-31-5, this play hasn’t reached a level where this play can’t continue to be a positive one.

Four games fit this system in Week 14:

  • DET @ CHI
  • HOU @ NYJ
  • MIN @ LV
  • GB @ NYG

MIN is my preferred option of the bunch. NFC favorites have been great against the spread when facing AFC teams of late, going 6-0 over the last four weeks to bring the system’s season-long record to 15-10-1 ATS.


System: Under on total in non-conference games

We’ve been rocking with the under on the total when an AFC team is a non-conference favorite, and we still can in Week 14. However, there’s only one game that applies to that system.

Instead, we’re casting a wider net and looking at all non-conference games — of which, there’s only one more, but still. This system is 41-25 on the season, and it’s gone 10-7 over the last four weeks.

The two games that fit this system in Week 14 are:

  • BAL vs. LAR
  • LV vs. MIN

BAL-LAR gets the nod if I’m picking between the two. As of writing, the total is 40 even. It opened at 45.5. Getting that opening number back would be nice, but it probably won’t happen since sharps appear to have attacked this system (25% of bets and 51% of the handle). That said, I still trust our reliable AFC-favorite-driven system.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.