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NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

New Orleans Pelicans v Chicago Bulls Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbooks’ Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.


SYSTEM: Teams ATS following a loss

On the season, this hasn’t been a great play at 148-143-9. But over the past week of games, this play has gotten a huge boost, going 26-17-2. This system has hovered around 50% over the last couple seasons, so monitoring the ebbs of flows of this play are huge. With this recent upswing just bringing the system to the 50% success range on the season, this play could continue to thrive in the short-term.

This system only fits one of the two games on Monday’s slate — NOP at SAC. Something worth noting with that game, which could apply to future plays within this system: favorites coming off a win this season are 68-88-6 ATS.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because odds are unavailable as of writing and this play is also dependent on the outcome of the underdog’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 4

Pelicans +3.5


SYSTEM: Over on total when road favorite is coming off a win

Only seven games have applied to this system over the past week, but at 6-1, those games were huge for anyone who’s been riding this play all season. To this point in 2023-24, that play is 35-27-2. Prior to this recent stretch, that play was 29-26-2 — a 50.8% success rate — so despite the sample size of this run, it has been significant.

But the reason this play is particularly appealing on Monday, and is worth considering throughout the week, is this system pairs nicely with another system that’s trending: over on the total when home underdogs did not play the previous day.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because odds are unavailable as of writing and this play is also dependent on the outcome of the underdog’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 4

BOS-IND over 242.5 points


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.