Unlike Thanksgiving when we get a heavy college hoops card, we get lighter slates around Christmas this year. But there is a game on DraftKings Sportsbook that caught my eye on Friday night for a play, so I figured it’d be a good one to breakdown in article form.
Entering Friday, my CBB betting record this season is 48-37 for +11-units.
UCLA -3.5 (-108) — 2-units
UCLA 1H -2 (-105) — 1-unit
You might not want to look back at recent UCLA scores if you’re tailing me on this one, but we’re going to back the Bruins in a great spot on Friday night at home against a Maryland team that’s been embarrassing on the road.
UCLA sits at just 5-5 this season, and are a one-point win over UC Riverside away from being under .500. After tough (and understandable) losses away from home to Villanova and Ohio State, the Bruins returned home this week to completely wet the bed, losing outright as a 17.5-point favorite to Cal State Northridge.
I think that loss has to be rock bottom for UCLA, and expect them to be ready to go for a big National TV game on Friday night. Keep in mind, this team hasn’t been terrible in some of its losses this season. Prior to the neutral loss to OSU and the road loss to ‘Nova, UCLA played both Gonzaga (four-point loss) and Marquette (two-point loss) very tough on a neutral floor.
If the Bruins were hosting an opponent the same caliber as some of those teams they lost to, I might not be as confident backing them here. But Maryland is the perfect get-right team to face here, particularly when the Terps are away from home.
Maryland started the season playing a tournament in North Carolina, where they went both 0-2 SU/ATS with putrid losses to Davidson and UAB as 11.5-point and 6-point favorites. The Terps followed that up by going on the road for a Friday night game at Villanova, and wound up dropping just 40 points in a game they lost by 17. After a few home wins over bottom of the barrel competition, Maryland went on the road again and lost by double-digits to a bad Indiana team as a short dog, dropping to 0-2 SU/ATS in true road games.
So while UCLA has had plenty of issues, this is a strong spot and matchup for a bounce-back at home. Maryland is averaging just 54.25 points in four games away from home, and a ridiculous 46.5 points in the two true road games. The UNDER 63.5 Team Total may also be worth a look in this one.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.