Week 16 gets started on Thursday night with a big game in the NFC playoff picture. The Saints and Rams both sit at 7-7 on the season, and this game could be crucial to both of these teams’ playoff hopes, as there are currently five teams in the NFC sitting at the exact same record. Below are some of my favorite bets for Thursday Night Football on DraftKings Sportsbook.
This number is simply not high enough for me due to the sheer volume of carries that go Williams’ way. Even though he has missed four games due to an ankle injury earlier this season, he is 10th in the NFL in rush attempts and fourth in rushing yards. Since his return in Week 12, he is averaging 22.25 rush attempts and 124.25 rush yards per game.
However, this is not just a recent trend. The Rams have been giving Williams a ton of carries all season. In the 10 games he’s played this year, he’s received 186 carries, an average of 18.6 per game.
I believe the Rams will continue that trend Thursday, as the Saints defense ranks sixth against the pass, but against the run, they are 24th in the league as they give up 126.4 rush yards per game. I could see Williams having a very big night on prime-time and wouldn’t be surprised if he found himself in the end zone.
This may seem hard to believe, but Jimmy Graham is tied with Chris Olave for the most receiving touchdowns on the Saints with four, despite having 66 fewer receptions. Yes, you read the right. Graham has only caught six passes all season, and four of them have been for touchdowns.
Five of his seven targets this season have been in the red zone, and he has scored in each of the Saints last three games. Considering he is tied for the team lead in touchdowns, I think this +500 number is a little disrespectful to Graham, who is showing he’s not quite done yet. The Rams defense does give up quite a few pass touchdowns, as they rank T-20th in that statistic, allowing 1.4 per game this season.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.