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NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

NBA: New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbooks’ Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.

UPDATE

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 19

NOP -8


SYSTEM: Home favorites ATS after not playing the previous day

Rested home favorites have been getting after it recently. Over the last week of games, home favorites that did not play the previous day, are 23-9 ATS.

Prior to this recent run, this system hadn’t been much to write home about. Prior to this stretch, this system was a rough 87-91-4. This trend likely won’t last, but there’s still room to capitalize on the way this play has been performing.

There are 8 games that fit this system to start off the week. However, there are two I prefer above the rest: LAL +4 and TOR +11. Asking teams to win by double digits is always risky, so a teaser may be the better way to go if you’re interested in Toronto.

Either way, these two stand out because both the Lakers and Raptors are playing after getting two days of rest. Teams who are playing after having two rest days are 21-13 ATS (61.76%) on the season.

POTENTIAL SYSTEM MATCHES: Home favorites ATS after not playing the previous day

12/18 12/19 12/20 12/21 12/22 12/23 12/24
12/18 12/19 12/20 12/21 12/22 12/23 12/24
CLE vs. HOU NOP vs. MEM IND vs. CHA DET vs. UTA PHI vs. TOR NYK vs. MIL N/A
PHI vs. CHI MIL vs. SA CLE vs. UTA MIL vs. ORL BKN vs. DEN LAC vs. BOS
TOR vs.CHA POR vs. PHO PHI vs. MIN OKC vs. LAC HOU vs. DAL NOP vs. HOU
ATL vs. DET GSW vs. BOS ORL vs. MIA MEM vs. IND MIA vs. ATL IND vs. ORL
OKC vs. MEM TOR vs. DEN POR vs. WAS SAC vs. PHO CHA vs DEN
DEn vs. DAL BKN vs. NYK GSW vs. WAS OKC vs. LAL
SAC vs. WAS HOU vs. ATL CHI vs. CLE
LAL vs. NYK CHI vs. LAL
DAL vs. LAC
SAC vs. BOS

NOTE: All games listed in the table above feature a home team that is not scheduled to play on the day prior. As of writing, odds were not available for games from 12/19/23-12/23/23.

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 18

LAL -4


SYSTEM: Over on total when home favorite is coming off a loss

This system has been electric after a slow start to the season. Throughout the last week of games, the over is 10-1 in this setting. Over the last 30 days, it’s 32-20.

Now, the games that fit this system on Monday don’t feature favorites that’ve been heavy to the over in this setting. However, CHA, DET and NYK have all seen the over hit often when playing as a road underdog.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because odds are unavailable as of writing and this play is also dependent on the outcome of the underdog’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 18

CHA-TOR over 225


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.