Week 15 is upon us, and this week, we have our first Saturday NFL action of the season. The Raiders got this week off to a strange start, with a 63-point showing the week after they got blanked against the Vikings. With that being said, let’s dive into this weekend’s action on DraftKings Sportsbook, which includes three games on Saturday, 11 on Sunday, and one on Monday.
WR Michael Pittman Jr. Over 75.5 Rec Yds (-115)
Michael Pittman Jr. has quietly been on a tear recently, with at least 95 receiving yards in each of his last three games. Over that time span, he has actually been the most targeted player in football, with 40 over the last three weeks. Looking back at a bigger time period, he has hit this total in six of his last eight games. He’s going up against a Steelers secondary that is #21 against the pass this year, and I would be shocked if the Colts didn’t try to feed him the ball once again this weekend.
WR Odell Beckham Jr. Over 37.5 Rec Yds (-115)
This is quite a surprising total, considering Odell had a season-high 10 targets last week while putting up 97 yards and a touchdown. He has hit this total in four of his last five games, and the number of targets last week suggests that he will make it five of six games when Sunday rolls around. To make this bet even more appetizing, Odell is matching up against a Jaguars defense that has been awful against the pass, ranking 31st in the league only behind the Commanders. This is by far my favorite bet of the weekend, and I also would recommend taking a look at some alternate lines, as I could see Beckham going for 100 on any given night, assuming the targets continue to come his way.
WR Deebo Samuel Over 58.5 Rec Yds (-130)
To conclude the overs for this week, we have yet another wide receiver in Deebo Samuel. Deebo has been balling in his last few games and has hit the over on this total in each of his last four games. In his last two games, he has been even better, going for over 100 yards in each. Brandon Aiyuk had been the clear #1 receiver for this team all season, but in the last month, Aiyuk and Deebo are tied in targets with 26. As a result, Deebo’s numbers are up and the 49ers have won every game by at least two scores. I expect Deebo to clear this number easily, and similar to what I said with Odell, I would definitely take a look at his alternate receiving lines as well as his anytime touchdown odds.
QB Bryce Young Under 172.5 Pass Yds (-115)
I think it’s fair to say that in recent weeks, Bryce Young has looked like the worst starting quarterback in football. There are a ton of backups starting this late in the season, but in terms of starters from day one, Bryce has clearly had the most struggles. Things have gotten even worse for him late in the season, as he hasn’t thrown for 200 yards in six straight games and has two touchdown passes to five interceptions over that span. Even though he has a low total of 172.5, Atlanta has the ninth-best pass defense in the NFL, only averaging 203 pass yards per game against. I think the under hits here as Bryce’s struggles continue, and I would also recommend his under 0.5 Pass TDs prop as well on DraftKings at +110.
K Matt Prater Under 1.5 PAT Made (-110)
The Cardinals have scored two touchdowns in three of their last five games, but this week, they will play against the 49ers, who are the #1 scoring defense in the NFL and are only giving up 15.8 points per game this season. It’s not like the Cardinals have been a touchdown machine this year either, as they only have 25 on the season, which ranks 25th in the NFL. Prater also has missed one extra point this year, so that possibility remains. I think the Cardinals will find paydirt at least once in this game, but asking them to score twice against this 49ers defense is asking a lot.
RB Gus Edwards Under 31.5 Rush Yds (-110)
In each of the last two weeks, Keaton Mitchell has been given more carries than Gus Edwards, which explains why Mitchell has a higher total this week. Edwards should be given fewer opportunities than usual, which is what we’re banking on for this bet. It will almost definitely still be a shared backfield, but hopefully, Mitchell will continue to stamp his authority on the #1 position. Edwards has only gone over this total once in his last four games, and to make matters even better for this bet, the Jaguars have the 4th best-rushing defense in the league, only allowing 92.2 yards per game on the ground.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.