clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

NBA: Brooklyn Nets at Phoenix Suns Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbooks’ Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.

UPDATE

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 14

BKN-DEN over 229.5 points

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 13

Rockets -6

BKN-PHX over 227 points

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 12

Mavericks +1.5


SYSTEM: Home team ATS coming off a win

This system has been huge over the last seven days, with home teams going 10-5 ATS after a win during the span. That stretch has elevated this system to 80-69-5 on the season.

Now, this system is rather broad. Utilizing concise systems is usually my preferred approach, when the sample size allows, but there are a couple subsystems under this umbrella that are worth looking into:

  • Home favorites coming off a win are 9-3 over the last seven days
  • Home underdogs coming off a win are 27-15-2 on the season

There’s only one game to which the home underdogs subsystem applies on Monday (CHA vs. MIA), but there are six home favorites playing on this slate that are coming off a win. Each of those six favorites didn’t play on Sunday (no one did), and home favorites that didn’t play the previous day are 12-8 ATS over the last seven days, making each of those plays options to consider.

NOTE: No table laying out potential plays for this system throughout the week because odds are unavailable as of writing and this play is also dependent on the outcome of the underdog’s previous game.

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 11

Hornets +4


SYSTEM: Over on total in non-conference games when West team is home

This system hasn’t gotten much action throughout December (1-1), but it’s had a 61.54% hit rate over the last 30 days and is 19-12-2 on the season.

Another system that lines up with this one: over on total in non-conference games when the West team is favored. That also applies to SAC vs. BKN and can help make some decisions a little easier as the week goes along.

SYSTEM MATCHES: Over on total in non-conference games when West team is home

12/11 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17
12/11 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17
BKN at SAC N/A NYK at UTA BKN at DEN NYK at PHO IND at MIN WAS at PHO
BKN at PHO NYK at LAC

SYSTEM PICK FOR DECEMBER 11

BKN at SAC over 236 points


Watch The Sweat LIVE Saturdays and Sundays from 8 a.m. ET to 10 a.m. ET on DraftKings Network or by subscribing to the DraftKings YouTube Channel!


All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!


All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.