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Week 8 was another .500 record for our picks, and that just simply isn’t good enough. Luckily, in sports, we have a chance to redeem ourselves the following week and that is what I plan to do in Week 9. The Steelers got things started with a gritty win over the Titans, and below are my favorite picks for the rest of the weekend slate on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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OVER Picks
WR Stefon Diggs Over 87.5 Rec Yds (-115)
Diggs is due for a monster game, as he has failed to reach this total in his last two games. However, this season, he’s gone over this total in five of eight games and is leading the NFL in targets. Diggs has a staggering 90 targets in eight games this year, an average of 11.25 per game. He will be matching up against the Bengals in a must-watch Sunday Night Football matchup, and I’m sure he’ll want to put on a show. The Bengals’ secondary has been suspect at times this year, as they rank 21st in the league in that category.
WR A.J. Brown Over 83.5 Rec Yds (-115)
Unless Brown’s totals start to skyrocket, he may become a staple of this article. He cashed with ease for us last week, and I’m picking him to do the same this week. Brown is on a historic run at the moment, going over 125 receiving yards in each of his last six games. His recent production has seen him climb up to the 5th most targeted player in the NFL, and he is second in the league in receiving yards behind Tyreek Hill.
QB Justin Herbert Over 0.5 INT’s (+114)
Herbert has taken good care of the ball this year, with only four interceptions in seven games. The Jets’ defense, however, does not care who you are. New York has eight interceptions on the season, and all eight have been in home games. They picked off Josh Allen three times, Patrick Mahomes twice and Jalen Hurts three times. The Jets have been consistently able to turn the ball over in home games, and I’m betting they will do the same on Monday night.
UNDER Picks
WR Christian Watson Under 42.5 Rec Yds (-110)
Watson missed the first three weeks of the season, and since he’s returned, he has been underwhelming. He has only cracked this total in one of his four games so far. The bigger concern is that Watson has not been on the same page with Jordan Love. Watson has been targeted 24 times in those four games, yet he only has 11 catches. Watson only catching 45.8% of his targets is an issue that ultimately could help us cash this under. The Rams’ defense has also been solid against the pass, as they rank 13th in the NFL.
QB Jaren Hall Under 193.5 Pass Yds (-115)
We have only seen Hall throw four times in an NFL uniform, but the Vikings staff see him every single day in practice. Instead of sticking with their backup like the Jets did with Zach Wilson when Aaron Rodgers went down, the Vikings immediately made a trade for a starting caliber QB in Joshua Dobbs. I believe the Vikings are only starting the 5th-round rookie because they have to with Cousins’ injury, and ultimately, Dobbs will replace Hall as soon as he’s up to speed on the new offense. I like Hall to go under here in an NFL debut where he will face the eighth-best defense against the pass on the road.
QB Bryce Young Under 1.5 Pass TD’s (-180)
These are lower odds than I usually suggest, but this play could be a great parlay builder. Young has started six games this season and has only gone over this total in one of them. He will face off against a Colts defense who do not give up many passing touchdowns, averaging 1.1 per game, which ranks tied for sixth in the NFL. Young hasn’t exactly been slinging touchdowns left, right, and center this year, as he ranks tied for 24th in passing touchdowns with seven.
Place your NFL prop bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.