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College Football Conference Championship Weekend Best Bets: Odds, Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Julian Edlow gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for NCAA Football Conference Championship Games.

NCAA Football: Washington at Oregon Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

It’s been an awesome season of college football thus far, and now we’re onto conference championship weekend before the College Football Playoff field is revealed. I already have some positions on these games, but plenty of appealing plays are still up on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Make sure that you are in our DK Network betting group. A lot of these picks are released earlier in the week, and you can find them here.

My 2023 college football betting record through the regular season is 55-39-1 (+14.53-units).

This article will be a little choppy because of the tickets I have in pocket throughout the season. Hopefully you’ve been following along so that you can play off these bets this weekend, but if not, I will clearly state which plays I’d still be making regardless of if you have any action already or not.

We won a play on Toledo to win the MAC West, but if I wind up playing any non-power games this weekend I will post that play to Twitter.

Oregon vs. Washington (Friday 8:00 pm ET)

In Pocket: Washington to win PAC-12 (+400) 1-unit, Oregon to win PAC-12 (+120) 2.5-units

Potential Plays: Washington +10 (-110), Michael Penix to win Heisman (+1600) 0.1-units

Washington was my team prior to the season, and they did well by us. Not only did they cash the OVER on nine wins, but they ran the table and are playing in Vegas for the final PAC-12 title game. That said, they are still massive dogs in this game. Once I saw Oregon go on the road and pound Utah, I thought it became clear that the Ducks were going to win out and be favored in this game, although I’m surprised how large of a favorite they are.

As things stand with our futures, I’d make 1.5-units regardless of who wins the game with the plays I’ve put out publicly. However, I did go back and personally add to Oregon a couple times, and also have a ticket on them to win it all. If you’re exposed to Oregon in this game, I think buying a half-point and playing the Huskies +10 opens up a very nice middle. If you have no action heading into the game, I think Washington with all the points is the play.

Regardless of your positions, I think some Penix at 16-1 for Heisman is a good play. If Washington wins, Penix is then 13-0 with two wins over Oregon, and both of the other top candidates have at least two losses. The number would plummet is Washington wins, and Penix should be in the driver’s seat.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas (Saturday 12:00 pm ET)

In Pocket: Texas to win Big 12 (-130) 2-units

Potential Plays: Oklahoma State +15.5 (-110) — 0.75-units

I didn’t have much of an opinion on the conference entering the season, but once the Longhorns went to Tuscaloosa on a Saturday night and beat Alabama by double-digits I went ahead and played on Texas. Of course, the win did nothing for them in the Big 12 standings, but it did show how legit this team can be.

Now Texas is in tremendous position to win this game, and is still playing for a potential CFP spot. That said, the Cowboys have played to the level of their competition much of the season, and are getting a ton of points here. With some pressure on Texas, I do think OK State can keep this within a couple of touchdowns. I’ll play for a small middle here, but if you have no dog in the fight, I’d still take some +15.5.

Georgia vs. Alabama (Saturday 4:00 pm ET)

In Pocket: Alabama to miss CFB (-165) - 1-unit

Potential Plays: Alabama +6 (-110) — 1.5-units, Alabama ML (+185) — 1-unit

I faded ‘Bama preseason, and after losing to Texas and barely beating USF, missing the CFP was looking like a rocking chair winner. But here we are, heading into a matchup against undefeated UGA at 11-1, and a win likely gets the Tide in. I don’t hate the spot for Alabama at all, though, mirroring a situation we saw in the SEC a couple years ago.

Two years ago ‘Bama miraculously won a game at Auburn that they had no business winning. With everyone against them in the SEC Championship Game, the Tide upset Georgia as a similarly priced dog. Not that history will repeat itself, but it does help me shake off how sluggish ‘Bama was against a bad Auburn squad.

In my spot, I’m essentially buying out of my position on Alabama and taking the points in the game. There is a situation where I could win both bets — that being Alabama upsets UGA, but still gets left out of the CFP.

As for the game itself if you have nothing in pocket, I’ll go with Alabama in the rare underdog role by taking the points. Georgia is very good, but it isn’t the untouchable team we’ve seen the past two years that won the Natty. This year the Bulldogs have struggled at times, winning by 10 or less against South Carolina, Auburn, Missouri and even Georgia Tech.

Georgia has covered just four times this season, and had lost seven in a row to the Tide prior to the 2021 National Title Game. I think Jalen Milroe’s legs should be the big difference that keeps Nick Saban’s team in this one down to the wire.

Louisville vs. Florida State (Saturday 8:00 pm ET)

In Pocket: Nothing

Potential Plays: FSU to make CFP: NO (+110) — 1.5-units, 1H UNDER 24 (-110) — 1-unit

FSU barely got by in its first game without Jordan Travis, facing a really bad Florida team that wound up winning just five games this season. Meanwhile, Louisville was likely looking ahead to this showdown in its loss to Kentucky on Rivalry Week. The Cardinals have a solid defense, and could really limit what this FSU offense can do. But the Seminoles are also really good defensively, which shouldn’t allow Louisville to run away with anything. I think this game gets off to a slow start, hence the 1H under play.

As for the full game, I do like Louisville to get the big win and knock FSU out of the CFP. However, the ML on the game is +115, while FSU to miss the CFP is +110. I think there’s still a path here for FSU to win an ugly game, and because of the Travis injury, still get left out of the four-team field. If that proves correct, we have two paths towards cashing this ticket.

Michigan vs. Iowa (Saturday 8:00 pm ET)

In Pocket: Michigan to win Big Ten (+175) - 1.5-units

Potential Plays: Michigan 1H -13.5 (-115)

We’re sitting pretty with the Michigan to win the conference ticket, which essentially rode on last week’s game against Ohio State. Michigan is absolutely winning this game, the question is by how much? We know Iowa will try to muck things up, and we also know that Michigan doesn’t need any style points to go to the CFP — just win the game.

All those aspects combine probably make this the most boring game on the board, and also tough to bet it. If I do add a play, though, it’ll be on Michigan to get out to a lead early. Iowa should get shutout in the first half unless the defense or special teams gets them into field goal range or the end zone. Wolverines by 14-21 points at the break feels likely if you want to add a play.

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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.

The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.