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NFL Best Bets: Top Prop Bet Predictions for Week 12 on DraftKings Sportsbook

Ciaran Doyle gives his favorite Prop Bet predictions for Week 12 of the 2023 NFL Season on DraftKings Sportsbook.

NFL: Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

In Week 11, we finally broke the famous .500 curse, going 4-2. Heading into Week 12, it is a much smaller slate, with only 12 games set to take place this weekend due to Thanksgiving and the Black Friday game. Even with only 12 games, there are still a ton of bets I have my eyes on, and below, I will guide you through my favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Place your NFL prop bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

OVER Picks

QB C.J. Stroud Over 279.5 Pass Yds (-115)

This seems to be the perfect matchup for C.J. Stroud, as he has caught fire the last three weeks and will now face a Jacksonville defense that ranks 29th in the NFL against the pass. He has gone over this total in six of his 10 games this year, but in the last three weeks, he has shattered this number every time. In Week 9, he put up 470 yards, following that up with 356 yards in Week 10. Then, last week, he went for 336 against the Cardinals. Stroud’s recent form and his matchup make this bet my favorite of the weekend.

WR Tank Dell Over 63.5 Rec Yds (-115)

Dell has been a big part of Stroud’s breakout over the last three weeks, catching at least six passes per game and averaging 106.3 receiving yards per game during that span. Looking at his numbers for the season, Dell has played in nine games and hit the over on this number four times, but two of those have been in the last three games. As a bonus bet, I also like Dell to find paydirt on Sunday, as he has six touchdowns in nine games. Like Stroud, Dell has a great matchup, as the Jaguars defense has given up 254.4 pass yards per game this season.

TE Trey McBride Over 49.5 Rec Yds (-115)

McBride has had two different seasons in one this year, as in the first five games, he was practically irrelevant, not sniffing the over on this total. However, since Week 6, he has been much more involved in the offense, hitting the over on this total in three of his six games. He has seen the ball come his way plenty of times since, averaging 7.6 targets per game. If McBride is given that many opportunities again on Sunday, I see this bet hitting against a Rams defense that is in the middle of the pack against the pass.


QB Tommy DeVito Under 177.5 Pass Yds (-140)

This may seem like a crazy bet, considering DeVito went off against the Commanders last week, throwing for 246 yards and three touchdowns. However, Washington was a much easier matchup for him, as they rank 30th against the pass. New England hasn’t been great this year, as they rank 18th in that category. However, they do have Bill Belichick, who, according to some reports, is fighting for his job right now. Belichick has been fantastic against rookie quarterbacks as a head coach, boasting a 24-6 record. Over that 30-game period, the rookie quarterbacks have 25 touchdown passes to 44 interceptions with an average quarterback rating of 64. Although DeVito impressed last week, I doubt he will get anywhere close to that this week. Belichick will surely have something up his sleeve for the young quarterback, and ultimately, I think he goes under this total.

QB Russell Wilson Under 194.5 Pass Yds (-115)

I am going for two quarterback unders this week, and Russell Wilson is next on the docket. Wilson has gone under this total in 5/10 games this season. His numbers always seem to be close to the 200-yard mark, but hopefully, not this week, as he will face the best-passing defense in the NFL. The Browns’ defense has been causing quarterbacks fits this year, and I expect Wilson to be no different on Sunday. Cleveland is only giving up an average of 143.7 pass yards per game, way below Wilson’s 194.5 total. I think this will be a low-scoring game, and hopefully, we come out on top with Wilson going under this number for the sixth time this season.

RB Dameon Pierce Under 28.5 Rush Yds (-110)

Pierce has missed the last three games with an injury, and in his absence, Devin Singletary has been excellent. Singletary went over 100 yards in two of those games and averaged 96 rush yards per game over the three-game span. It would be a mistake to hand the reigns back to Pierce after his injury, as out of 48 qualified running backs, Pierce has the lowest yards per carry in the NFL this year (3.0). Singletary has been slightly better, coming in at 26th (4.1). I think the Texans will stink with Singletary as their starter, which will make things much harder for Pierce to reach this total. To make matters worse, Jacksonville is the 4th best team in the league against the run, only giving up 87 rush yards per game.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.