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NFL Thanksgiving Best Bets: Odds, Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Ciaran Doyle gives out his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Week 12’s Thanksgiving slate.

NFL: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions David Reginek-USA TODAY Sports

Thanksgiving is finally here, and this year, we will look to wash down our turkey with some winners on DraftKings Sportsbook. There’s a three-game slate set for Thursday and plenty of intriguing bets to dive into. Below are my favorite bets for each game this Thanksgiving.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

RB Jahmyr Gibbs Over 28.5 Rec Yards (-115).

Gibbs missed weeks 6 and 7 through injury, but in the four games since his return, he has hit this total in every single game. Gibbs has featured in eight games this season and has gone over the total four times. He wasn’t as involved in the offense for the first month, only hitting this total once. It wasn’t due to a lack of effort; he just wasn’t on the field as much.

In the first month of the season, he played 43% of the offensive snaps, and in the last month, that has increased to 67.75%. Over the recent four-game sample size, he is averaging 6.5 targets, 5.75 catches, and 47.25 receiving yards per game. His usage and production are trending in the right direction, and I would also recommend taking a look at his rushing props on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

LB Micah Parsons Over 0.75 Sacks (-175).

This is my favorite bet for Turkey Day, as the Commanders simply cannot protect QB Sam Howell. They have given up the second most sacks in the NFL this year with 51, averaging 4.6 allowed per game. Now they have to try to deal with Micah Parsons, who is seventh in the league in sacks. Parsons is averaging a sack per game this year, as he has 10 in 10 games.

Parsons has been even more of a game wrecker in the last two weeks, getting 1.5 sacks against a good Eagles offensive line and then following it up with 2.5 sacks the week after against Carolina. This Commanders offensive line could be in for a long game, and I wouldn’t be surprised if other guys like Demarcus Lawrence (Over 0.25, -135) got in on the action. This game could definitely get out of hand with the mismatch in the trenches, as the Cowboys have the seventh most sacks of any team this year.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

WR DK Metcalf Over 59.5 Rec Yards (-115).

Metcalf and the Seahawks offense will certainly have their hands full against the 49ers defense on Thursday, but San Francisco has been much better against the run than the pass. The 49ers rank third against the run, while against the pass, they are 15th. This could mean Seattle leans on their passing game a little more and hopefully target Metcalf along the way.

DK didn’t get off to the best start this season but has been consistent over his last five games, hitting this total in four of those games while averaging 75.6 receiving yards per game. In the totality of the season, he’s cashed this prop six out of nine times. I especially love this prop because of his recent production and targets. Over the last two weeks, he has 21 targets, which is top 10 in the league. He certainly brings big play ability to the table, which is huge for a lower prop of 59.5. Metcalf is tied for 12th in yards per reception at 16.2.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.