After another 3-3 week, we look forward to Week 11, where we will try to break the .500 curse. There are some great games on the slate this weekend, including a Super Bowl rematch on Monday Night Football between the Eagles and Chiefs. Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Week 11 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 83.5 Rec Yds (-115)
St. Brown has been absolutely cooking lately, garnering at least 102 receiving yards in each of his last four games. Since Week 6, he is tied for third in targets, and that includes a bye in Week 9. He has a great matchup this weekend, playing the Bears at home, who are suspect against the pass. Chicago ranks 26th in the league in that category, and I suspect that trend will continue on Sunday. St. Brown has been Mr. Consistent this year, as he has 100 receiving yards in six of the eight games he’s played in.
RB Kareem Hunt Over 31.5 Rush Yds (-120)
Hunt has been more involved in the Browns offense recently, getting at least 10 rushing attempts in each of their last five games. Over that time span, he has hit the over on this total in four of the five games, and the only miss was a game in which he finished a single yard below this total. Hunt has not been amazing this year by any stretch of the imagination, only averaging 3.3 yards per carry. However, he is facing a Steelers offense that has given up a ton of yards on the ground, as Pittsburgh ranks 25th in the NFL against the run. Without Deshaun Watson for the rest of the season, I suspect Cleveland will start to lean on their run game.
WR Tyreek Hill Over 88.5 Rec Yds (-115)
Hill has been fantastic all season, as he leads the NFL in receiving yards to this point. When looking closely at his numbers, I noticed that Hill has been a much better player when at home. In Miami’s four home games so far this year, Hill has hit on this total every time. In those games, he is averaging 153.25 receiving yards per game. On top of that, Hill has scored a touchdown in all four of those games. This is by far my favorite bet of the weekend, and I also love him to score a touchdown on Sunday. He is currently -160 on DraftKings Sportsbook to find paydirt.
QB Bryce Young Under 190.5 Pass Yds (-115)
Young has struggled for the most part this year and has gone under this total in 50% of his games. What is even more concerning for Young is the fact that things seem to be getting worse. In his last two games, he has really struggled. He has completed 58.4% of his passes while throwing for 179 pass yards per game. Also, he has one touchdown and three interceptions over that time period. Now, he gets the second-best pass defense rolling into town, and I think Young and the Panthers offense will struggle mightily on Sunday against the Cowboys.
WR Christian Watson Under 37.5 Rec Yds (-115)
The only reason this total is so high is because the Chargers are the worst defense in the NFL against the pass. Watson has only gone over this total once this year in six attempts, and over the last two weeks, he has only had three catches. Even though he has a great matchup this weekend, Watson has been a disappointment in his second season thus far, and I see that continuing for him on Sunday.
TE Donald Parham Jr. Under 36.5 Rec Yds (-115)
This is a line that doesn’t make sense to me, as Parham has only gone over this total once all season. He has been virtually nonexistent in road games, catching four balls away from home all season. Over the last two weeks, Parham has only had two catches and has not sniffed this total. On the season, he is averaging 15.25 receiving yards per game.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.