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World Series Game 4 takes place tonight and hopefully we’ll be dishing out more than just candy. Call me crazy, but I’ll take green checkmarks any day over some of the crap candy people give out, like Almond Joy. Let’s see what’s cooking tonight for bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
The Pick: Andrew Heaney over 1.5 earned runs allowed -105
I wouldn’t be shocked if the D-Backs jump on Heaney early. As a lefty who primarily throws fastball, this is not the club you want to do that against. On the season, this lineup has a combined .357 wOBA with a .176 ISO and only a 16.3% K% against fastball thrown by lefties since last season. His next pitch, a slider, sees the D-Backs with a combined .341 wOBA, .207 ISO and a 27.3% K% since last year. Heaney is not projected to be in this game long, his outs recoded prop is currently set at 9.5 outs, but I don’t think it’s out of the realm to see the D-Backs plate at least two runs before he’s gone. The Rangers have had to go to the bullpen early twice in the three games played with both Nate Eovaldi and Max Scherzer going no more than 4.1 innings. Ideally, they need some length from Heaney, so maybe the rope on him will be a bit longer than normal, especially with them up a game in the series. Nonetheless, I really like this prop to go over in favor of the Snakes.
The Pick: Tommy Pham over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBI -125
Pham matches up very well against Heaney tonight. Dating back to last season, he’s been an excellent fastball hitter against lefties. He enters tonight with a .454 wOBA and a .323 ISO against that pitch. Facing the slider is no different. While he does strikeout at a high rate at 28.3%, he does also have a .388 wOBA and a .262 ISO against that pitch. He’s hit very well in these playoffs and is currently slashing .291/.304/.509 with six extra base hits and 10 runs scored.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.