The NBA season returns with a soft launch of a two-game card on Tuesday night. I’ll have articles for the larger Wednesday and Friday betting cards later in the week, but I do think we have some nice betting angles in Tuesday night’s games. Here’s what stands out on DraftKings Sportsbook.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
This one was essentially an auto-play during the playoffs last season, and I don’t see any reason it should change in the early going this season. Reaves hit multiple triples in six of his final games during that postseason run, including three of four in this matchup against Denver. He shot 14-of-25 from downtown in the series against the Nuggets, and 24-for-37 from beyond the arc during that seven-game span.
Obviously, staying that hot is unlikely, but on volume alone Reaves should have a good chance to make more than one three. He’s stayed hot in the preseason, shooting 8-for-12 from downtown in 68 minutes. He should play well over 30 minutes on Tuesday (he was playing over 40 in the Denver series), and see his share of open looks.
I’ll pass on a side in the game at 4.5/5, but if we get the Lakers at 5.5 or 6 I’d have a strong lean to them, and consider playing it. Emotional night here for Denver with the banner and the rings, and the Lakers did a good job of adding talent in the offseason. Good revenge spot off a really competitive sweep last season, as the Lakers dropped three of the games by six of fewer points.
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
Suns ML (-105) — 1.5-units
We all know the NBA can be frustrating to bet at times over the course of the season. Injury news will blindside you and give you a bad number on a game. I was prepared for that to eventually happen, but I didn’t think it’d be opening night.
I fired on the Suns once we got news Draymond Green would sit this one out — we knew this was an option after he sprained his ankle about a month ago. I was actually initially on the Warriors in this game, but bought off once Green got hurt, combined with the nice depth the Suns added by getting involved in the Damian Lillard blockbuster.
However, after Frank Vogel told reporters just a day ago that Devin Booker and Bradley Beal were “good to go” on Opening Night, things changed in a big way. Beal is now “unlikely” to play, while Booker will be “50/50.” We’ll see how that all plays out, but after posting the Suns to Twitter on Monday, I’ll have to ride the bad number here (all the news ultimately settled the Suns as three-point dogs).
As long as Booker plays, I still do like the side too. Phoenix added great depth in that move, and I believe upgraded at center by going from DeAndre Ayton to Jusuf Nurkic. With Green out, a thin front court that will feature Kevon Looney should really struggle to defend Nurkic in the paint. Kevin Durant and Booker are more than capable of picking up the scoring load without Beal, and Eric Gordon and Grayson Allen can fill some extra minutes on the wing.
Booker is the obvious key to this game, so if you haven’t tailed me yet on this play then I’d sit back and wait. No Booker you probably want to go Warriors. But if Book plays, I’d fire on Phoenix as a dog.
Jusuf Nurkic Double-Double: YES (+165) — 0.75-units
Nurkic gets a good matchup here in his debut with the Suns, and the Beal absence potentially creates a few more scoring chances to go around. Ultimately, this is a matchup play, though.
Nurk averaged 13.3 points and 9.1 boards last season, but that was with the tanking Blazers really limiting his minutes when he did play down the stretch. I’d expect a much larger role with the Suns here, who didn’t play Nurk more than 21 minutes in any preseason game — which was pretty standard for the starters. He pulled down 25 rebounds in 72 preseason minutes, but about 30 minutes in the regular season seems reasonable to project.
Factor in the cushy matchup against a small Golden State team, and we should see Nurkic rebounding the ball consistently, along with some easy scoring chances around the rim.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.