The PGA TOUR heads to Houston Texas this week for the The Cadence Bank Houston Open. Memorial Park Golf Course is the host and is a 7,412-yard, par 70 that features Bermuda grass greens.
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Hideki Matsuyama to Win (+2200)
Memorial Park is a very long course, which should play right into Matsuayama’s wheelhouse, as he’s done his best work over the years on courses that require distance off the tee. Go take a look at his U.S. Open record.
This will the second time he makes the trip to Houston, and the first one went quite well for him, as he finished T2 in 2020. Not only did he finish runner-up, but of all the players in the field this week, he ranks No. 1 in SG: Tee-to-Green per round at Memorial park (2.28). Obviously it’s only a four round sample, but Memorial Park has only hosted this event two times.
Matsuyama has had a quiet Fall this far, but has made all three of his cuts and finished no worse than 40th in each of his three starts. Long term, he rates out as one of the best players in this field, ranking seventh in SG: Tee-to-Green, sixth in SG: Approach, 22nd in SG: Putting and fifth in Total Strokes Gained — all over his past 48 rounds. At 22/1 on the DraftKings Sportsbook, there’s a decent bit of value here.
Mackenzie Hughes to Win/Top 10 (+6500/+550)
Hughes has been lighting it up this Fall, posting a pair of T25 finishes sandwiched around his triumphant win at the Sanderson Farms Championship. Over his past eight rounds in this field, the Canadian ranks ninth in SG: Approach, 10th in SG: Putting and third in Total Strokes Gained. The man is locked in right now in the most important facets of the game.
Hughes has played Memorial Park in both renditions of this event and has finished T29 and T7 respectively. He’s had success from both tee-to-green and on the greens at this course, averaging over .75 strokes gained per round in both categories.
I like him as an outright at these longer odds, but we have seen him already post a top-10 here, so it couldn’t hurt to sprinkle a bit on him to repeat that performance at +550 as well.
Sepp Straka to Win (+8000)
Straka is about as hit or miss as it gets, and thats demonstrated best by his history at Memorial Park, as he missed the cut last year and finished T5 in 2020. Straka is long off the tee, is a strong putter and can get hot with his irons. He won the Honda Classic at similar odds to what he is this week, and his blowup spots usually come out of nowhere.
He missed the cut last week at Mayakoba, but recently finished runner up at the Sanderson Farms Championship just five weeks ago, so there is some recent form here. His game is in decent shape during this stretch, as he ranks 14th in SG: Tee-to-Green, 17th in SG: Ball-Striking and 15th in Total Strokes gained over his past 16 rounds. You will know on Thursday if the Austrian will be in contention or not, as he usually comes out hot on weeks where he’s live to win. I will take my chances here at 80/1
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