NFL Betting Trends: Team Records Against the Spread and Totals on DraftKings Sportsbook for Week 5

Zach Thompson provides top betting trends to help you place NFL bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

By Zach Thompson@ZT_Sports Updated Oct 7, 2022, 11:40am PDT

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Injuries are starting to take their toll as we head into Week 5 of the NFL season, and there is only one team that hasn’t lost yet—the Philadelphia Eagles. On the other extreme, the Texans are the only team without a win, but they do have a tie from Week 1 against the Colts.

This is the final full week of NFL action until Week 12 since bye weeks begin in Week 6. As you get your betting cards ready on DraftKings Sportsbook, take a look at these trends against the spread and totals to help you make the right picks.

Here are some key definitions of acronyms that we’ll use throughout the article:

SU: Straight Up
ATS: Against the Spread
O/U: Over/Under
MOV: Margin of Victory
+/-: Plus/Minus

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Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1 SU/1-3 ATS) at Denver Broncos (2-2 SU/1-3 ATS)

DEN is 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS at home
IND is 0-1-1 SU/0-2 ATS on the road
DEN is 0-2 O/U at home
IND is 0-2 O/U on the road
IND is 1-4-1 SU/1-5 ATS in its past six games
IND is 9-3 SU/9-3 ATS in its last 12 games vs. DEN
IND is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss
DEN is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games vs. a team with a losing record
DEN is 2-6 SU/2-6 ATS in its last eight games
DEN is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games vs. the AFC
The UNDERDOG is 5-2 ATS in the last seven IND vs. DEN matchups
OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 IND vs. DEN matchups
UNDER is 9-0 in IND’s last nine games
UNDER is 8-0 in IND’s last eight games vs. the AFC
UNDER is 5-0 in IND’s last five road games
UNDER is 11-4 in DEN’s last 15 games
UNDER is 6-2 in DEN’s last eight home games

New York Giants (3-1 SU/3-1 ATS) at Green Bay Packers (3-1 SU/2-2 ATS)

This game will take place on a neutral field in London
NYG is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
NYG is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning record
NYG is 3-8 in its last 11 games following an ATS win
GB is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning record
GB is 8-1 SU in its last nine home games
GB is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games following an ATS loss
GB is 5-0 SU in its last five games vs. the NFC East
The FAVORITE is 4-0-1 in the last five NYG vs. GB matchups
OVER is 5-1 in GB’s last six games vs. the NFC
OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 NYG vs. GB matchups
UNDER is 9-2 in NYG’s last 11 games
UNDER is 6-1 in NYG’s last seven games vs. the NFC
UNDER is 22-5-2 in NYG’s last 29 games
UNDER is 4-0 in GB’s last four vs. the NFC

Detroit Lions (1-3 SU/3-1 ATS) at New England Patriots (1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS)

NE is 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS at home
DET is 0-1 SU/1-0 ATS on the road
NE is 0-1 O/U at home
DET is 1-0 O/U on the road
DET is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS loss
DET is 4-1 ATS in its last five
DET is 0-5 SU on the road
NE is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine games
NE is 7-5 ATS in its last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
OVER is 6-0 in DET’s last six games
OVER is 6-2 in NE’s last eight games
OVER is 9-1 in NE’s last 10 games on field turf
OVER is 6-2 in NE’s last 8 games following a SU loss
UNDER is 6-2 in DET’s last eight games vs. the AFC East

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS) at Buffalo Bills (3-1 SU/2-2 ATS)

BUF is 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS at home
PIT is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
BUF is 1-0 O/U at home
BUF is 5-0 SU in its past five home games
BUF is 9-1-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
BUF is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS loss
BUF is 6-2-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall
PIT is 1-1 O/U on the road
PIT is 11-3 SU/11-3 ATS in its last 14 vs. BUF
OVER is 6-2 in PIT’s last eight road games
UNDER is 4-0 in BUF’s last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
UNDER is 9-1 in PIT’s last 10 games vs. the AFC East
UNDER is 25-10-1 in PIT’s last 36 games in October
UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven PIT vs. BUF matchups

Los Angeles Chargers (2-2 SU/3-1 ATS) at Cleveland Browns (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS)

CLE is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS at home
LAC is 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS on the road
CLE is 2-0 O/U at home
LAC is 1-1 O/U on the road
LAC is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games on grass
LAC is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against CLE
LAC is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win
CLE is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 vs. the AFC
CLE is 22-48-1 ATS in its last 71 games following a SU loss
CLE is 1-6 SU in its last seven games vs. the AFC West
The UNDERDOG is 7-1 ATS in the past eight LAC vs. CLE matchups
OVER is 8-2 in LAC’s last 10 games overall
OVER is 11-5 in LAC’s last 16 games on grass
UNDER is 6-0 in CLE’s last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in its previous game
UNDER is 5-1 in CLE’s last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in its previous game

Chicago Bears (2-2 SU/1-2-1 ATS) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1 SU/1-3 ATS)

MIN is 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS at home
CHI is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS on the road
MIN is 1-1 O/U at home
CHI is 0-2 O/U on the road
CHI is 5-11 SU/4-11-1 ATS in CHI’s last 16 games
CHI is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games vs. the NFC
CHI is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 vs. NFC North
CHI is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
MIN is 4-1 ATS in the past five CHI vs. MIN matchups
MIN is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win
MIN is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games overall
OVER is 5-2 in the last seven CHI vs. MIN matchups in Minnesota
OVER is 4-1 in CHI’s last five games following an ATS loss
OVER is 5-1 in MIN’s last six home games
UNDER is 4-1 in CHI’s last five games vs. the NFC
UNDER is 11-4 in CHI’s last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
UNDER is 19-8 in CHI’s last 27 vs. a team with a winning record
UNDER is 25-12 in CHI’s last 37 games following a SU loss

Seattle Seahawks (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS) at New Orleans Saints (1-3 SU/1-3 ATS)

NO is 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS at home
SEA is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
NO is 1-1 O/U at home
SEA is 1-1 O/U on the road
SEA is 4-2 SU/4-2 ATS in its last six games
SEA is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
SEA is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following a SU win
NO is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
NO is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS win
The HOME team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven SEA vs. NO matchups
The UNDERDOG is 4-0 ATS in the last four SEA vs. NO matchups
OVER is 5-2 in SEA’s last seven games
UNDER is 10-5 in SEA’s last 15 road games
UNDER is 8-3 in NO’s last 11 games
UNDER is 6-0 in NO’s last six games on field turf
UNDER is 5-1 in NO’s last 6 home games

Miami Dolphins (3-1 SU/3-1 ATS) at New York Jets (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS)

NYJ is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS at home
MIA is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
NYJ is 0-2 O/U at home
MIA is 1-1 O/U on the road
MIA is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six vs. the AFC East
MIA is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU loss
MIA is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. the Jets
MIA is 8-1 SU in its last eight games vs. the Jets
MIA is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU loss
NYJ is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record
NYJ is 7-19-1 ATS in its last 27 vs. the AFC East
NYJ is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a SU win
NYJ is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
OVER is 12-6 in NYJ’s last 18 games
OVER is 4-0 in NYJ’s last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
UNDER is 6-1 in Miami’s last 7 games on the road
UNDER is 5-1 when MIA visits the NYJ
UNDER is 9-3 in MIA’s last 12 vs. the AFC
UNDER is 9-3 in MIA’s last 12 vs. the AFC East

Atlanta Falcons (2-2 SU/4-0 ATS) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS)

TB is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS at home
ATL is 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS on the road
TB is 1-1 O/U at home
ATL is 2-0 O/U on the road
ATL is 1-5 SU in its last six games vs.TB
ATL is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
TB is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
TB is 11-4 SU in its last 15 home games vs. ATL
TB is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games vs. the NFC South
The HOME team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 TB vs. ATL matchups
OVER is 4-1 in ATL’s last five games
OVER is 7-1 in the last eight TB vs. ATL matchups
UNDER is 4-2 in TB’s last six games
UNDER is 6-1 in ATL’s last seven games following a SU win
UNDER is 7-1 in TB’s last eight games following a SU loss
UNDER is 9-2 in TB’s last 11 vs. NFC

Tennessee Titans (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS) at Washington Commanders (1-3 SU/1-3 ATS)

WAS is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS at home
TEN is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
WAS is 1-1 O/U at home
TEN is 1-1 O/U on the road
TEN is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
TEN is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 vs. WAS
TEN is 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
WAS is 2-7 in its last nine games
WAS is 11-23-1 ATS in its last 35 games following a SU loss
WAS is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS loss
The UNDERDOG is 6-0 ATS in the past six WAS vs. TEN matchups
The ROAD team is 6-0 ATS in the past six WAS vs. TEN matchups
OVER is 6-0 in TEN’s last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
UNDER is 7-3 in TEN’s last 10 games
UNDER is 11-5 in WAS’s last 16 games

Houston Texans (0-3-1 SU/2-1-1 ATS) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS)

JAX is 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS at home
HOU is 0-2 SU/0-1-1 ATS on the road
JAX is 0-1 O/U at home
HOU is 1-1 O/U on the road
HOU is 0-5-1 SU in its last six games
HOU is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
HOU is 8-0 SU in its last eight games vs. JAX
JAX is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
JAX is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following a SU loss
The UNDERDOG is 5-1 ATS in the last six HOU vs. JAX matchups
OVER is 5-3 in HOU’s last nine games
OVER is 5-0 in HOU’s last 5 games following an SU loss
OVER Is 6-2 in JAX’s last eight games
UNDER is 5-1 in JAX’s last six home games
UNDER is 4-1 in JAX’s last 5 vs. AFC South

San Francisco 49ers (1-2 SU/1-2 ATS) at Carolina Panthers (1-3 SU/1-3 ATS)

CAR is 1-2 SU/1-2 ATS at home
SF is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS on the road
CAR is 1-2 O/U at home
SF is 0-2 O/U on the road
SF is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
SF is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. the NFC
SF is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games vs. CAR
SF is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU loss
CAR is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
CAR is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games
CAR is 1-7 SU in its last eight games vs. the NFC
The FAVORITE is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 CAR vs. SF matchup
OVER is 14-4 in CAR’s last 18 games vs. the NFC West
UNDER is 7-0 in SF’s last seven games
UNDER is 5-0 in SF’s last five road games
UNDER is 4-0 in SF’s last four games following an ATS win
UNDER is 10-1 in SF’s last 11 games on grass
UNDER is 13-3 in SF’s last 16 games overall

Dallas Cowboys (3-1 SU/3-1 ATS) at Los Angeles Rams (2-1 SU/1-2 ATS)

LAR is 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS at home
DAL is 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS on the road
LAR is 1-1 O/U at home
DAL is 1-0 O/U on the road
DAL is 8-3 SU/8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
DAL is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games
DAL is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 vs. the NFC
LAR is 1-5 ATS in its last six games
LAR is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
LAR is 31-15-1 ATS in its last 47 vs. NFC
The FAVORITE is 5-2 ATS in the last seven DAL vs. LAR matchups
The HOME team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine DAL vs. LAR matchups
OVER is 4-1 in the last five DAL vs. LAR matchups
UNDER is 4-1 in DAL’s last five games
UNDER is 5-1 in LAR’s last six games
UNDER is 5-0-1 in DAL’s last 6 games on field turf
UNDER is 9-1-1 in DAL’s last 11 games following an ATS/SU win

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0 SU/3-1 ATS) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS)

ARI is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS at home
PHI is 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
ARI is 1-1 O/U at home
PHI is 1-1 O/U on the road
PHI is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS win
PHI is 0-5 ATS in the last five PHI vs. ARI meetings in Arizona
PHI is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 PHI vs. ARI meetings in Arizona
ARI is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall
ARI is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS win
ARI is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 home games
ARI is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
The FAVORITE is 4-0 in the last four PHI vs. ARI meetings in Arizona
OVER is 4-1 in ARI’s last 5 games following a SU win
UNDER is 5-2 in PHI’s last seven road games
UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven PHI vs. ARI meetings in Arizona
UNDER is 5-1 in ARI’s last 6 vs. NFC

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2 SU/2-2 ATS) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2 SU/3-1 ATS)

BAL is 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS at home
CIN is 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS on the road
BAL is 1-1 O/U at home
CIN is 0-2 O/U on the road
CIN is 8-4 SU/10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
CIN is 8-4 SU in its last 12 vs. BAL
CIN is 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. BAL
CIN is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 vs. the AFC
CIN is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU win
BAL is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS loss
BAL is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
BAL is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games vs. the AFC North
The ROAD team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven CIN vs. BAL matchups
The FAVORITE is 4-1 ATS in the last five CIN vs. BAL matchups
OVER is 6-3 in the last nine CIN vs. BAL matchups
UNDER is 9-0 in CIN’s last nine games
UNDER is 7-0 in CIN’s last seven games vs. the AFC
UNDER is 5-0 in CIN’s last 5 road games
UNDER is 4-2 in BAL’s last six games
UNDER is 6-2 in BAL’s last eight games as a favorite

Las Vegas Raiders (1-3 SU/1-3 ATS) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1 SU/2-2 ATS)

KC is 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS at home
LV is 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS on the road
KC is 0-1 O/U at home
LV is 1-1 O/U on the road
LV is 1-8 SU in its last nine games vs. KC
LV is 1-4 SU/1-4 ATS in its last five games
LV is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games
LV is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on grass
KC is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
KC is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
KC is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
OVER is 4-0 in the last four LV vs. KC matchups
OVER is 7-2 in KC’s last 9 games on grass
OVER is 9-3 in KC’s last 12 games overall
OVER is 8-4 in KC’s last 12 vs. the AFC West
UNDER is 6-1 in LV’s last 7 games following a SU win
UNDER is 5-1 in LV’s last 6 games following an ATS win
UNDER is 5-0 in KC’s last 5 Monday games

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.