Before the FedExCup Playoffs begin next week, we first head to Sedgefield Country Club (par 70, 7,131 yards) in Greensboro, North Carolina for the 2021 Wyndham Championship. Following this event, the top-125 players in the FedExCup standings will compete next week at THE NORTHERN TRUST. Sedgefield Country Club was designed by the great Donald Ross and has been the home of the Wyndham since 2008. Edging out Billy Horschel by one stroke, Jim Herman claimed a victory here last season with a winning number of -21, making him the fifth consecutive Wyndham champion to crack 20 strokes under par.
This unchallenging par 70 that presents Bermuda greens is a classic example of a second shot course that doesn’t require a long driver. A year ago, Herman was the fifth Wyndham winner in a row to finish in the top-five in SG APP. Conversely, none of these five golfers ranked in the top-20 in driving distance, and four of them ended the week inside the top-10 in fairways found. In simpler terms, clubbing down OTT to improve your accuracy is a common trend in Greensboro, and while we should have a massive weight on iron play this week, OTT stats are rather irrelevant.
As always with a par 70, having a stellar week on the par fours is a must if you want to contend at Sedgefield. The past two winners at this Ross design-led their fields in SG on the par fours. Specifically, eight of the 12 par fours in Greensboro land between 400-450 yards. Three of the last four Wyndham victors have ranked in top-three in SG on these particular holes, putting an emphasis on this specific range. While most of the biggest names on the PGA TOUR are taking this week off to prepare for the playoffs, there is still a decent group of players attending this year’s Wyndham. Seven of the top-30 ranked golfers in the world are in this full field of 156 players, and there will be a standard top-65 and ties cut following the first 36 holes. As the regular season finale, this is obviously an extremely important week for FedExCup seeding purposes.
Below, I have featured four of my top value targets that are priced at $7.4K or less on DraftKings for the Wyndham Championship.
Chez Reavie, $7,400
You have to love Reavie at this price. He has made two of his last three cuts at Sedgefield and has only failed to make the weekend once in his last eight starts on the PGA TOUR, with four top-25s coming over this stretch. In this current form, Reavie checks every box for Sedgefield. Across his last 24 rounds, the 39-year-old ranks sixth in SGT2G, ninth in SG APP, 10th in SG on par fours and sixth in SG on par fours from 400-450 yards.
Furthermore, Reavie ranks second in total strokes gained when we compare this field’s last 50 rounds on par 70s that sport Bermuda greens, and he can’t afford to have an underwhelming showing in Greensboro. While Reavie is safe right now, ranking 114th in FedExCup points, a missed cut could push him outside the bubble and end his season.
Ryan Armour, $7,000
Sitting at 122nd in the FedExCup standings, Armour needs to have a solid week to book a ticket to THE NORTHERN TRUST, and a trip to Sedgefield Country Club is exactly what the doctor ordered. At the last four Wyndham Championships, the 45-year-old has finished T4, T8, T22 and T25. Armour also posted a T4 at the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic, which is held at another Ross creation in Detroit Golf Club. Overall, he ranks fourth in this field in career strokes gained at tracks designed by Ross, and prior to missing the cut at the Barracuda Championship last week, Armour had fired off back-to-back top-six finishes.
In his last 24 rounds, Armour ranks fourth in SG on par fours that range from 400-450 yards, and he is an attractive value to consider for both cash games and GPPs.
Jason Dufner, $6,700
Dufner has had a lackluster season, but arrives in Greensboro in very encouraging form. He has carded three straight top-30 finishes, mostly attributed to some excellent ball striking. Over this span, Dufner ranks fourth in SGT2G, 16th in SG APP and fourth in GIR. Plus, the veteran ranks ninth in SG on par fours during this run, and has been very reliable at Sedgefield throughout his career. In 13 appearances at the par 70, Dufner has made nine cuts, with six finishes inside the top-31.
Add in the extra motivation with him ranking 161st in the FedExCup standings, and Dufner is an excellent punt that shouldn’t be a common name in large tournaments.
Henrik Norlander, $6,600
Before finishing T45th at the Olympics, Norlander had found himself competing on the weekend at seven of his previous nine tournaments. His last start on the PGA TOUR came at the Barbasol Championship, where the Swede ranked seventh in SGT2G and second in SG APP, en route to a T5 finish.
This marked Norlander’s third top-five of the season, his sixth event in a row that he has gained strokes from T2G and also the third consecutive start he has generated positive strokes with his putter. Norlander now brings this promising form to Greensboro, where he is 2/3 in made cuts, including a T16 in 2013. By a significant margin, Norlander’s best results with his flat stick have come on Bermuda and the 34-year-old is a steal at this depressed salary.
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