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MLB Best Bets: Baseball Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for August 3

Matt LaMarca gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s MLB betting card.

Tuesday features a sizable MLB slate, with all 30 teams in action. All 15 games will start at 7:05 p.m. ET or later.

Let’s break down some of my favorite wagers to target on DraftKings Sportsbook.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies

Cubs ML (+120)

The Cubs are obviously not the same team that won the title back in 2016. They gutted their squad before the trade deadline, shipping away guys like Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel.

They’re going to be at a major talent disadvantage for the rest of the season, but this series vs. the Rockies is an exception. The Rockies decided to keep Trevor Story at the deadline, but somehow they still have arguably less talent than the Cubs. They rank dead last in wRC+ this season by a significant margin, and they don’t exactly have a ton of pitching depth, either.

They’ll send Kyle Freeland to the mound on Tuesday, and he’s struggled to a 5.34 FIP at Coors Field this season. Zach Davies will get the ball for the Cubs, and while he hasn’t been a world-beater, his 4.66 FIP gives them an edge on the mound. The Cubs are undervalued at plus-money.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Orioles ML (+220)

Editor’s Note: Yankees P Luis Gil will start tonight vs. the Orioles.

I’m rolling the dice on the Orioles as large underdogs on Tuesday. The Yankees were originally scheduled to have Gerrit Cole on the mound in this contest, but he’s been placed on the COVID IL. That means Nestor Cortes will take the mound instead, and Cortes has been brilliant for the Yankees this season. He’s pitched to a 1.93 ERA and 2.18 FIP over 32 2/3 innings, so they’ll still have a big edge in this contest.

However, there are reasons to believe in regression for Cortes moving forward. For starters, he’s never had this level of success in the majors before. He pitched to a 15.26 ERA with the Mariners in 2020 and a 5.67 ERA with the Yankees in 2019.

The Orioles have also quietly been fantastic against left-handed pitchers this season. They’ve posted a 110 wRC+ in that split, which is the sixth-highest mark in the league.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers -1.5 (+120)

The Dodgers are an absolute juggernaut. They entered the season with an abundance of talent, and they made a massive splash before the trade deadline. They acquired the best pitcher on the market in Max Scherzer and also added arguably the best hitter on the market in Trea Turner. Adding those two players to the Dodgers’ core is borderline unfair.

The Dodgers are facing a tough matchup in Lance McCullers Jr., but they’ll still have the advantage at pitcher. Walker Buehler will take the hill for the Dodgers, and he’s pitched to a sparkling 2.19 ERA this season. The Dodgers are 12-9 on the run line with Buehler on the mound in 2021, resulting in a return on investment of +12.8%. The Dodgers have been an even better investment with Buehler on the mound recently, posting a mark of 8-3 on the run line over his past 11 starts.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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