The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver.
The DraftKings New Holland 250 NASCAR slate locks at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday.
1. Ty Gibbs ($11,000) — Michigan is a foreign track for most of the field and Gibbs is a part of that inexperienced group, but two factors separate him from the rest. He drives the No. 54 JGR car and he’ll get extra reps by participating in the Michigan ARCA race.
2. Austin Cindric ($10,000) — The Xfinity Series hasn’t raced at Michigan since 2019, and most of the 2021 drivers either weren’t racing in 2019 or were not very good. Cindric falls into the latter category, but he’s good now — five wins this season.
3. Justin Allgaier ($10,200) — Everyone is going into this race somewhat blind. The drivers do not get to practice and they haven’t raced at Michigan since 2019. Allgaier’s notes from 2019 and the previous seasons will prove invaluable this weekend.
4. AJ Allmendinger ($8,900) — With all of the road courses lately and his Cup win at Indy, it’s easy to forget that Allmendinger has been good everywhere this season. He won an intermediate track race at Las Vegas and has seven top-5 finishes at oval tracks.
5. Brandon Jones ($9,400) — It’s hard to trust Brandon Jones when he is running well; it’s impossible to trust him when he’s wrecked in three of the last four races. If he doesn’t wreck, then he can easily hit 6x in a JGR car, but that’s a big if.
6. Noah Gragson ($9,000) — Since Texas, Gragson has earned a top 10 finish in seven of eight races. His average finish over that span is seventh. That’s not good enough in DFS, but he’s just one step away from winning or leading a race.
7. Harrison Burton ($9,600) — Why is Burton being promoted to the Cup Series next season. It’s not based on performance because he’s been terrible this season — no wins and an average finish of 13th. It’s because his dad bought him a ride with the Wood Brothers.
8. Sam Mayer ($8,500) — This price is a little low for a Jr Motorsports car starting 16th. Mayer has been undependable and has wrecked in four of his five races this season, but his ARCA laps will provide valuable experience.
9. Bubba Wallace ($11,500) — This is a steep price to pay for a driver that has never won a race in the Xfinity or Cup Series, but he has won at Michigan in the Truck Series. Wallace does not have to win but for DFS purposes, he’ll need to finish inside the top 5 in a car that can barely make it into the top 15.
10. Daniel Hemric ($9,800) — For Daniel Hemric, this has been a good season — eight top-5 finishes. For JGR, he’s been another disappointing driver wasting their equipment — no wins and an average finish of 11th.
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11. Tyler Reddick ($10,500) — At his price, he’ll likely need to win at Michigan despite starting 22nd. An Our Motorsports car has enough power to win a volatile, restart heavy race, but that’s usually only the case in high downforce races at Michigan (Cup and Truck Series).
12. Brandon Brown ($7,600) — Now that most of the road courses are out of the way, Brandon Brown can go back to having his breakthrough season. Before Road America, Brown recorded five consecutive top-10 finishes with an average finish of sixth over that span.
13. Justin Haley ($8,700) — It will be difficult to pull the trigger on this play. Usually, it’s easy to pass on the Kaulig Racing cars because they’re overpriced top-10 cars with no upside. With a third place starting position, it’s possible that Haley could lead some laps. However, negative place differential points could negate those laps led points.
14. Jordan Anderson ($7,200) — Here we go again. Anderson is going to strap into his own car at Michigan and so far, the results have not been good when he drives his product — two 34th place finishes. When other drivers get behind the wheel, it’s a top-15 car.
15. Colin Garrett ($6,000) — In the last oval race for Sam Hunt Racing, the No. 26 car finished 16th at New Hampshire with Brandon Gdovic driving. Garrett doesn’t have a lot of experience, but he finished 14th and 16th in his last two intermediate track races.
16. Ryan Vargas ($4,800) — He’s not starting as far back as other punts, but he has equal if not better equipment and he’s significantly cheaper than Colby Howard and David Starr. Vargas has caught some bad breaks this season, but when he avoids wrecks and his car does not break down, he’s a decent young racer — four top-20 finishes in his last seven races.
17. Colby Howard ($6,500) — Does he check the boxes? Howard is cheap and he’s starting 38th, but has he been reliable in the JD Motorsports No. 15 car? His average finish is 27th with four top 20s and eight top 25s in 18 races.
18. David Starr ($6,600) — A Carl Long car starting in the back is pretty normal for Xfinity DFS, but Starr’s price is pushing it. However, Starr has been decent in this car this season. His average finish is 27th and he has a top 30 finish in 10 of 14 races.
19. Bayley Currey ($5,400) — Everyone knows that rostering a Mike Harmon car is a bad idea. Everyone knows that rostering Bayley Curry is a bad idea. However, a lot of bad ideas find their way into winning lineups.
20. Jesse Little ($5,000) — Talking punts is always more fun than analyzing the fantasy irrelevance of the Kaulig Racing cars. Jesse Little is riding an eight race top-30 finish streak. Is that a thing? For a BJ McLeod driver, it’s definitely a thing.
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