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MLB Best Bets: Baseball Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for July 19

Nick Friar gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday’s MLB betting card.

DraftKings Sportsbook has me once again looking heavily at AL West teams. But, I also had to take a look at the Padres after the weekend their hitters had.

If you want to sweat out these picks with me, follow me on Twitter: @Nick_Friar.

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers

Kyle Gibson over 5.5 strikeouts +105

Assessing a situation where a starting pitcher is about to take the mound against the same team he saw in his previous outing can be tricky. But in this instance, one of the best pitchers in the American League is about to face one of the worst teams in the American League. Also, we’re not trying to figure out if Gibson will improve on his five-run outing vs. Detroit before the All-Star break. In fact, if the Texas right-hander does the same thing he did in his previous start, we’ll be fine.

Last time out, Gibson’s ERA bumped back up over 2.00, courtesy of the Tigers. But, the first-time MLB All-Star still punched out Detroit hitters seven times. He’s logged seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three starts.

As for Detroit, no team is striking out more frequently against right-handed pitching this month. So, whether or not the Tigers get to him again, Gibson will still have plenty of opportunities to rack up strikeouts.

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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves

Padres over 4.5 runs -125

After the series the Padres had at Nationals Park, it’s impossible to ignore their run total at this number. San Diego’s ISO against left-handers in July isn’t much to look at, but the lineup’s .891 OPS against lefties is among the 10 best in all of baseball this month. But, the Padres don’t need to get all five runs off of Kyle Muller — though, that’s in play after the Atlanta rookie gave up three runs over 5 2/3 innings vs. the Marlins in his last start.

Braves relievers haven’t been all that great, whether you’re examining their entire body of work in 2021 or just July. Looking at their 4.41 FIP this month against their 4.26 ERA, their numbers aren’t due to improve or worsen. Atlanta’s bullpen remains vulnerable, and now the Braves have to face a scorching San Diego offense.

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Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics

Angels over 3.5 runs -145

Cole Irvin has thrown well since the Angels tagged him for four runs over 5 2/3 innings on June 16. The left-hander has logged 25 innings over his last four starts, posting a 2.88 ERA while only giving up one home run. Monday doesn’t necessarily have to be the day his strong run ends, but he’s not going to walk away from this start unscathed.

The Angels have the second-best ISO and third-best OPS against left-handed pitching this month. In the two times they’ve seen Irvin (May 30 and June 16), the Angels have tagged him for four runs. Oakland’s bullpen held the Angels down after Irvin left the May 30 outing, but the Angels scored four runs off of A’s relievers after the left-hander exited his June 16 start. While Oakland relievers have done well this month, their 3.90 FIP indicates they’re due for a regression.

Also, Shohei Ohtani is scheduled to start on Monday. The Angels have scored five-plus runs in four of his last five starts — all four of those contests resulting in Los Angeles wins.

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