Follow along on Twitter (@julianedlow) for any potential updates — things can always change with potential lineup moves leading up to tipoff. Here’s what jumps out to me for Game 4 of the NBA Finals on DraftKings Sportsbook.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 52.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists (-120)
We’ve seen Antetokounmpo absolutely dominate the last two games of this series, finishing with lines of 42-12-4 (58) and 41-13-6 (60). Giannis was also on pace to exceed this total in Game 1 — finishing with 21 combined rebounds and assists — but he had just 20 points. However, he attempted just 11 shots in his first game back from the hyperextended knee.
Since then, Giannis is 29-of-45 from the field, and has attempted a whopping 35 free throws (actually making 24 of them). The Suns have the right idea in sending Giannis to the line, but he made them pay at home, shooting 13-for-17 in Game 3 without a crowd heckling him. If you want to keep chasing a third-straight 40-point game from Giannis, I don’t hate betting O34.5 points (+100) for even money, or you could also swing for the fences on the 40 or more points boost at (+350).
The reason I defer to the three-way prop is in case the Suns make some adjustments in the form of more doubles on Antetokounmpo. I’m not afraid of Ayton getting big minutes, as Giannis went off with Ayton playing 42 minutes in Game 2. But if doubles are brought in the paint, I could see a script in this game where Giannis finishes with 30 points and 10-plus assists.
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Devin Booker OVER 27.5 Points (-125)
This feels like a Devin Booker game. Book scored 27 in Game 1 while shooting just 1-of-8 from downtown. He found his way to 31 points in Game 2 without even attempting a free throw. Of course, he was awful in Game 3, shooting just 3-for-14 from the field, scoring 10 points in a mere 29 minutes.
For all intents and purposes, Booker was benched late in that game. The score may have been lopsided, but other starters like Chris Paul were still on the floor for Phoenix. I don’t expect that to sit well with Booker, who’s attempting to adopt the Kobe Bryant mentality in these NBA Finals. With Game 2 back on Thursday, Booker’s played just 29 minutes in almost a week. Expect him to be fresh, to knock down more three-pointers and be aggressive in getting to the line.
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