It’s Sunday, and that means we’ve got a jam-packed slate with plenty of games to choose from in the afternoon and so many valuable lines out there that it’s hard to pick just a few. With that said, here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have been great over the past week, ranking third in OPS, but there are some weaknesses here that lead me to believe the Blue Jays should pull this off.
For starters, they’ve got a strikeout rate over 26% over that span, and have hit just .229 against left-handed pitching this year. I’m pretty confident that a red-hot Robbie Ray, fresh off a 2.86 ERA in June (his best month so far) can get the job done against this offense. His whiff and strikeout rates remain close to elite, and the walks have stabilized.
Rich Hill, meanwhile, is getting rocked on his 88-mph fastball. Hitters are .271 off that pitch, and the Blue Jays are not only third in the league against fastballs but also seventh in wRC+ to lefties. This should be working against them.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
The Astros are really hurting at the plate, ranking dead last in wRC+ over the last two weeks. It isn’t a sight that we thought we would see for the best offense in baseball, and this series has proven to be just a bit too much for it.
Needing a break in the worst way, I’m not sure things get any better here for Houston. Framber Valdez is coming off a tough start and will face a Yankees lineup that’s stacked with right-handed power bats and which has figured out how to hit lefties lately.
Jameson Taillon also finally saw some of the positive regression we thought he would see in his last start against the Mariners, which was sublime. I think the parameters are there for another gem, and for a Yankees win.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
If you’re going to bet the Rockies, it’s going to be with one of their better pitchers on the hill, and with encouraging conditions on offense. That’s what we have with ace Jon Gray taking the hill against a struggling lefty.
Yeah, the Rockies rank near the bottom of the league in just about every split, but against lefties, they’re not terrible with a 93 wRC+. Ryan Weathers also has been terrible, at least judging by the peripherals. His xERA is about two runs higher than his real-life ERA, which is 3.02.
The Padres are also 17th in contact rate over the past two weeks, outside the top 10 in hard-hit balls and have a pedestrian 9.3% walk rate in that span. They’ve scored four runs all series after being shut out on Saturday and this feels like the perfect time to fade them again.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.