Hey, it’s almost the weekend! We’ve got a jam-packed slate with plenty of games to choose from and so many valuable lines out there that it’s hard to pick just a few. With that said, here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
It just may be time to get back on the Diamondbacks bandwagon. This team has scored 23 runs over the last four games, which averages out to nearly six per contest. A couple months ago, Arizona was a tough sell with how many injuries it had, but now things are looking up. The snakes have Carson Kelly’s big bat back in the lineup along with Ketel Marte and Christian Walker. Even Josh Reddick, one of my least favorite players due to his horrendous hitting, has been fantastic in a Diamondbacks uniform.
One thing that this Diamondbacks team has done all year long, despite having so many big bats in and out of the lineup, is hit lefties. They’ve posted a 110 wRC+ against southpaws and get a pretty bad one here in Brett Anderson. With an offense as bad as Milwaukee’s, the underdog is always in play against the Brewers, and I think the Diamondbacks should simply produce more runs here.
All young Casey Mize has done in his first full big-league season is impress. After a few rocky starts in April, the right-hander settled in to post a 1.74 ERA in May, which came along with 27 strikeouts in 31.0 innings. The strikeouts have begun to pile up in recent outings — Mize has registered six or more in three-straight starts — which is great news considering his struggles with swings and misses early in his career. Now, he’ll face a White Sox team that’s ranked seventh in strikeout rate over the last two weeks and has hit just .242 over that span.
I think Mize can navigate this White Sox lineup, and I know that Lance Lynn and his fastball can navigate a Tigers lineup that has produced lately, but still strikes out far too much for my liking. This reeks of an under.
Look, I have faded Zach Davies and lost too many times to count. His ERA indicators are all bad — and have been bad for years — yet the righty continues to be effective. You’d think he’s stranding a lot of runners with the type of luck he’s allegedly getting with his FIP and xERA, but that’s not true. His strand rate is actually down to 73% this year, and while he’s walking a decent amount of guys again, it’s not out of control.
Davies has also allowed a ton of contact and hard-hit balls, but with a launch angle of 8.8 degrees and a higher ground ball rate, we can confidently say he’s executing his game plan as a sinker-baller. It helps that he has a great infield defense behind him, too, so perhaps we can lay off Davies for not pitching more like Freddy Peralta. He’s been incredibly effective doing it his own way. With that, I see plenty of value in backing him here with the way the Cubs have been hitting.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.