There are eight NBA games on the schedule for Friday night, and below are some players I will be targeting at each position on DraftKings.
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Worth Paying Up For: Russell Westbrook, Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers, $11,000
Westbrook is just on another level right now, and he continues to be underpriced night in and night out. In his 14 starts this month, the triple-double machine has scored over 50 DKFP in all but one game, and has eclipsed the 60 DKFP threshold ten times. As the ten seed in the East, every remaining game is important for the Wizards, and Westbrook has logged over 40 minutes in back-to-back tilts, resulting in a whopping 67.1 DKFP per game.
Barring a huge blowout tonight, which is unlikely with this game being in Cleveland, Westbrook should approach 40 minutes and effortlessly exceed five-times value. The star point guard should honestly cost over $12,000 right now, and is very tough to avoid in all formats.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Lonnie Walker IV, San Antonio Spurs at Boston Celtics, $3,700
With Derrick White (ankle) out Wednesday, Walker didn’t earn the start, but he saw the biggest increase in playing time, logging 29 minutes off the bench. The end result was 24.75 DKFP for Walker in a tough matchup against Heat, and the wing will almost certainly handle this type of role again Friday, with White unlikely to play again this season.
This matchup vs. the Celtics is a slight upgrade from Miami, and Walker is solid punt that should record at least 20 DKFP. Whenever the 22-year-old has cracked 25 minutes this season, he has generated 23.8 DKFP per game.
Worth Paying Up For: Devin Booker, Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz, $7,900
The Jazz are obviously one of the best defenses in the association, but not having Mike Conley hurts, and Booker is always worth considering when he is under $8,000. In two matchups, the shooting guard is amassing 41.1 DKFP per game vs. Utah this year, and the competitive nature of this clash between two of the Western Conference’s best clubs is an obvious boost.
In the last ten Suns tilts that have been decided by single digits, Booker has supplied 43.7 DKFP per game, and the guard is almost guaranteed for less than 10% ownership in GPPs.
Best Bang For Your Buck: De’Anthony Melton, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Orlando Magic, $3,900
Melton is a very sneaky punt with Grayson Allen (hand) doubtful. Friday marks the 13th contest the Duke product has missed in 2020-21, and Melton has been the primary beneficiary in his absence, scoring 25.7 DKFP per game.
The veteran has obtained 23.1 minutes per game sans Allen, and Melton brings much better upside than you would think for a player this cheap. For the 23 instances the combo-guard has logged a minimum of 20 minutes this season, Melton has surpassed 25 DKFP 14 times, and it definitely helps that Orlando has been terrible on defense, ranking second to last in defensive rating this month.
Worth Paying Up For: Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics vs. San Antonio Spurs, $8,800
Brown has been on fire, contributing 62.5 DKFP per game in his past two, and Kemba Walker will likely miss his third straight game on Friday. Brown sees a team-high 2.5 percentage point usage bump with Walker off the court and is chipping in with 42.2 DKFP per game in the 23 games the point guard has been inactive for this season.
The Celtics will also be home at TD Garden, where Brown has been 2.4 DKFP better than when on the road this season, and the All-Star exposed the Spurs for 44 DKFP back in January. Boston desperately needs wins right now to avoid the play-in tournament, and Brown has 50 DKFP upside tonight.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Gary Harris, Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies, $4,400
On Wednesday night, Harris had his best showing in a Magic uniform, tallying 41.5 DKFP vs. the Cavs. With Terrence Ross, Otto Porter Jr. and Michael Carter-Williams all sidelined, Harris has played over 30 minutes in three consecutive games, and the role should continue will all three of these key players confirmed out for Friday night.
While we can’t expect a repeat performance, Harris should be able to grind out value in this prime spot against the Grizzlies, who are allowing opposing small forwards to score DFKP at the second highest rate in the league.
Worth Paying Up For: Anthony Davis, Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings, $9,100
The Lakers have eased their restrictions on AD, and with 31 minutes Wednesday, the forward finally looked like his superstar self, recording 44.75 DKFP vs. the Wizards, behind a 34.4% usage rate. Friday is an island game, meaning the Lakers did not play last night and aren’t in action tomorrow, so Davis should be right over 30 minutes against the Kings.
In terms of efficiency, no defense in the NBA is weaker than the Kings, and they also are surrendering a league-high 53.8 points in the paint per game. This will be Davis’ first start in the Staples Center since his return from the calf injury, and the Brow has provided 3.8 more DKFP per game on his home floor this season. All things considered, Davis should bully the Kings for 50+ DKFP tonight, and is a fine spend at the always weak power forward position.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Georges Niang, Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns, $3,400
More value will likely open up closer to lock, but as of early Friday morning, Niang is the top punt play available at power forward tonight. With Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley missing Wednesday, Niang got the spot start and knocked down 5/7 three pointers, en route to 31.25 DKFP against the Kings. The sharpshooter has now scored over 20 DKFP in three of his most recent four, and should remain a starter Friday with Utah’s top two guards already confirmed out.
Visiting the Suns and their top-ten defense in Phoenix is far from an ideal spot, but Niang’s production increases to 0.9 DKFP per minute sans Conley and Mitchell, and the forward is averaging 34.9 DKFP per game in the two starts he has made this season.
Worth Paying Up For: Jarrett Allen, Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Washington Wizards, $7,400
The Wizards have improved defensively as they chase a playoff spot, but they are still extremely susceptible inside. Just this past Sunday night, Allen collected a 27-point and 12-rebound double-double worth 55 DKFP against Washington. Including this effort, Allen is generating 41.7 DKFP per game across his last three and while his floor is too shaky for cash games, the center is a perfect GPP target in this rematch with the Wizards.
In each of his past five starts, Allen has been owned by less than 10% of the field in DraftKings’ main GPP of the night.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Jeff Green, Brooklyn Nets vs. Portland Trail Blazers, $4,800
The Nets have opted to start Green at center for their past two, and the veteran has responded with 39 DKFP vs. the Suns and 32.25 DKFP vs. the Pacers. With Green at the five spot, the Nets secured wins in both outings, so Steve Nash should stick with this same game plan Friday night.
Plus, Green should be in line for some extra usage, in the likely scenario that Kevin Durant is rested with this being Brooklyn’s second game in two nights. Kyrie Irving could also be absent, and we can’t forget James Harden is still on the shelf. All in all, this is a very favorable spot against the Blazers (29th in defensive efficiency), and Green would go from a really strong value to a core play if one of or both of the Nets’ stars are unavailable.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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