It’s the first Saturday of the season, and that means a day full of baseball games for our viewing pleasure. The majority of teams will be coming off a day of rest on Friday, meaning we’ll still be treated to some great pitching duels with No. 2 starters facing off in many spots on this slate. With that in mind, here are my favorite MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Yankees were actually pretty awful against left-handed pitching last year, which is why I liked the under so much on Thursday. Here, they’ll be in a much better spot against a middling right-hander in Ross Stripling, playing at home where they’ve historically played much better. How much better? Well, last season they managed to score 6.2 runs per game in 31 home games versus just 4.3 runs per game in 29 contests on the road.
I’m bullish on this offense, as many are, and things should revert back to the mean in a better matchup. I’m going to be taking a wait-and-see approach with Corey Kluber this year before trusting him, but I think the Yankees should put enough runs on the board early that Kluber’s performance shouldn’t matter.
I’m selling high on Charlie Morton after last year’s postseason, namely because that’s where he does his best work. If you’ll recall, he had a putrid 4.74 ERA last season before his favorite month came around, and though his peripherals would suggest he had some bad luck, it wasn’t all bad luck. Morton’s now 37 and certainly won’t be getting better from here, only worse.
On the other side, we have a promising Phillies lineup and a peaking right-hander in Zack Wheeler, who was elite at limiting hard contact last season, resulting in a sparkling 2.92 ERA. Philadelphia ranked 10th against right-handed pitching by wRC+ last season and has a strong bunch of left-handed bats to get the job done here. I like the Phillies to improve to 2-0 against an aging Morton.
I’m just not sure this line respects Corbin Burnes at all, really. The righty is not only coming off a stellar 2020 in which he finished sixth in Cy Young voting with an excellent 2.03 FIP, but he was also spectacular this spring, with a 1.65 ERA in 16 1⁄3 innings across five games. Burnes will be out to prove that his 2019 season was merely a fluke after he’d had so much early success as a reliever, and I think he should continue to roll here against a Twins offense that disappointed a bit on Opening Day and now has to move forward without Josh Donaldson. I like the Crew to pull out the W and Christian Yelich to post another victory video.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.