The name of this article is MLB Best Bets. So I will give you my best bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Give me a follow on Twitter or you’re not allowed to read this article. @SBuchanan24.
Only six games on the slate tonight so the picking are a bit slimmer than usual for a Monday. The first one that caught my eye was the Rays against the Royals with a 3.5 team total. It should be noted that this game will feature winds blowing IN from left field at 14mph, so that is a potential downgrade. After that though, it’s all good news from here on out.
I think it’s fair to say that Duffy has performed better than expected. His 0.75 ERA is quite dazzling to the untrained eye. But, after rigorous training in the mountains with Ra’s al Ghul in the mountains, I learned that a 3.35 FIP tells a different story. Don’t get me wrong, a 3.35 FIP is still a good number but it’s not close to a 0.75 ERA. The Rays have also been a good hitting club against lefties thus far, posting a .339 wOBA, a .190 ISO and a 125 wRC+. The Rays are not only averaging 4.2 runs per game but have upped that total to six over their last three.
This game is also a potential candidate to hit the over with just a 7.5 total. While I’m not necessarily on that play, it’s worth noting the Rays are a league best 11-5 with the over, covering by an average of 1.1 runs per game.
I’m a man that hates unders and rarely want to go after them. But, when it looks like THE play to make, I’ll begrudgingly take the bait.
Under 4.5 runs between Jack Flaherty and a reinvigorated (at least up to this point) Joe Ross is intriguing. After a rough start to open the season, Flaherty rebounded in two subsequent starts, including his last against this Nationals team, to go 11 innings allowing just one run on four hits and striking out 12. Ross as made two starts, one against this Cardinals team and the Dodgers and has given up ZERO runs on six hits with nine strikeouts through 11 innings. While both have some weakness in their game, specifically with Flaherty against lefties, I like take this play.
Coming into this game, the Cardinals have been one of the better teams scoring early with an average of 2.8 (6th). However, the Nationals are amongst the worst, averaging just 1.9 (25th). With these in mind and how both pitchers have done as of late, I like taking the under 4.5 runs.
This is only the third start in the majors for Rangers starter Kohei Arihara, who has been a mixed bag thus far. Against the Royals, Padres and Rays, he has a 3.44 FIP with just a 12.3% K% and a 41.7% hard-hit rate. Tonight, he’ll face one of the higher scoring offenses in the league, as the Angels are averaging 5.4 runs per game, the third-highest average. The Angels have been jumping on opposing pitchers early, averaging 2.9 runs through the first five innings, which ranks fifth in the league.
What really intrigues me is how bad the Rangers bullpen has been. They have a 4.57 FIP, a 1.6 HR/9 and have already logged 60 innings pitched. All of these categories are amongst the highest in the league currently. They’re fourth in the league in earned runs allowed at 34, which is currently lead by the Tigers at 43. This has me on the over for the Angels team total.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.