Here are some plays that jump out on DraftKings at each position for Wednesday’s 11-game NBA main slate, along with some strategy unique to this slate.
Worth Paying Up For: Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves ($11,000)
Luka is the highest-priced player on the slate, so it’s a tough pill to swallow. With that said, it can provide life-altering truth like the red pill in The Matrix. He’s averaging 1.58 DKFP per minute and has gone for at least 70 DKFP in a game eight times, with three of those over 80 DKFP. Over his last four games, he’s gone for 53.25, 64.75, 74, and 68.5 DKFP. He now gets a pace-up environment as the Timberwolves play at the fourth-fastest pace. To make matters even juicier, Minnesota boosts the fantasy points per minute to point guards by 19.12% above league average.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Tomas Satoransky, Chicago Bulls vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ($4,600)
On the season, Satoransky is averaging 0.86 DKFP per minute. Since entering the starting lineup six games ago, Satoransky has averaged 29.8 minutes per game. He’s gone for 33.5, 31.5, 22, 17.75, 30.5, and 27 DKFP. He’s a low usage player so the points won’t always be voluminous, but he contributes in every category, providing a relatively high floor. He’s gone for at least 30 DKFP five times this season.
Worth Paying Up For: Terry Rozier, Charlotte Hornets at Houston Rockets ($7,100)
There are some good options up top at the shooting guard position but I’d rather save the salary and go down to Rozier, who could match or even surpass the production of the top guys. On the season, he’s averaging 1.03 DKFP per minute, but with LaMelo Ball out, he played 39 minutes, attempted 17 shots, and produced 44.25 DKFP. He also stuffed the stat sheet with three rebounds, six assists, two steals, and one block. The shooting efficiency is always a concern but when he gets hot, he has 40-burger potential. He’s gone for at least 50 DKFP three times this season. The matchup with the Rockets is a good one as they play at the fifth-fastest pace and boost the fantasy points per minute to shooting guards by 16.31% above league average.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Malik Monk, Charlotte Hornets at Houston Rockets ($4,300)
With LaMelo Ball out, Monk played 27 minutes. He only scored 18.75 DKFP, but there are reasons for optimism. He garnered a 26.9% usage rate and attempted 15 shots, but only converted 33% of them. Monk can pop off for 30 real points on any given night, so as long as the minutes are there, it’s always within the range of outcomes. On the season, Monk is averaging 0.92 DKFP per minute. As mentioned above in the Rozier blurb, the matchup with the Rockets is a good one.
Worth Paying Up For: Michael Porter Jr., Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors ($6,900)
I feel good paying down at small forward as well. MPJ is averaging 1.04 DKFP per minute. Over the last eight games, he’s averaged 33.1 minutes and scored at least 30 DKFP in all of those contests. In two of those games, he went for 46.75 and 47.75 DKFP, so the ability to match the higher-priced small forwards on the slate is within the range of outcomes. What gives me more confidence is that the Raptors have been very generous to small forwards all season long, as they boost the fantasy points per minute to the position by 16.12% above league average.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Bogdan Bogdanovic, Atlanta Hawks at Sacramento Kings ($4,000)
Since returning from a 25-game absence, Bogdanovic has played nine games. He played 16 minutes in his return and the minutes have slowly been creeping up. Well, in the past three games, Bogdanovic has played 29, 30, and 21 minutes, producing 37.5, 19, and 21.75 DKFP respectively. On the season, he’s averaging 0.82 DKFP per minute but he hasn’t been at full strength all year. Last season with the Kings, Bogdanovic was averaging 0.94 DKFP per minute. There’s uncertainty to the number of minutes he will play, but a range in the 20s looks to be the likely outcome. There’s decent floor/ceiling with Bogdanovic, especially since the Kings are 9th in pace and dead-last in defensive efficiency. And I didn’t even bring out the REVENGE narrative!
Worth Paying Up For: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics ($10,800)
My wife was walking by when she saw that I was going to write up Domantas Sabonis here. She promptly slapped me with her right hand, then her left hand, then with both hands for good measure. Thanks, hon. Now, Giannis is questionable for his game so keep abreast of the news, but he did practice on Tuesday so I’m operating under the assumption that he plays. On the season, Giannis averages 1.67 DKFP per minute. He literally does it all and has a ceiling that is unmatched by most. He’s gone for at least 70 DKFP eight times this season. The Bucks played the Celtics in the first game of the season and Giannis went for 57.75 DKFP. Over the last three games against the Celtics, he’s scored at least 30 real points and grabbed at least 13 rebounds in each of them.
Best Bang For Your Buck: OG Anunoby, Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets ($5,500)
Anunoby sat the last game because it was the second leg of a back-to-back, so he should be well-rested for this one. Since returning from a six-game absence, he’s played 31 and 35 minutes, producing 34.5 and 34.25 DKFP. He attempted eight and 15 shots, but the great thing about Anunoby is that he contributes in every statistical category, which provides a relatively high floor. While ceiling games don’t come around often, he has gone for 44 and 53.5 DKFP this season. The Nuggets boost the fantasy points per minute to power forwards by 10.07% above league average.
Worth Paying Up For: Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors ($10,700)
There are so many good options at center today that I was tempted to write up any one of them here, but then I heard my wife creeping in the other room. On the season, Jokic is averaging 1.62 DKFP per minute. Over the last three games, he’s gone for 74.25, 64, and 71.75 DKFP. He’s produced 10 games with at least 70 DKFP, with a high of 88.5 DKFP. His low on the season was 42 DKFP. The floor/ceiling combo is the best on the slate and there’s a reason why he’s the numero uno player for fantasy on a per-game basis this season.
Best Bang For Your Buck: JaVale McGee, Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls ($3,500)
McGee averages 1.23 DKFP per minute and is coming off a 36.25-DKFP performance against the Kings in 19 minutes. When he’s on the court, he produces but we just never know how many minutes he’s going to play. If he can get close to 20 minutes in this one, then he has the potential to smash as the Bulls are second-most generous team to centers, boosting the fantasy points per minute by 18.5% above league average.
Overall Lineup Strategy
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There are so many enticing options at center today that double-dipping at the position looks to be the way to go. There’s also plenty of value. On a slate this big, there will be many paths to victory and pivots to players who garner high ownership.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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