Happy Hump Day! After a mini six-game NBA slate on Tuesday, we follow that up with a loaded 11-game slate with a couple of fun, nationally-televised affairs. With so much to choose from, let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to bet. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Don’t let Monday night’s massacre at the hands of the Bucks scare you. The Pacers have been playing much better basketball with Caris LeVert in the lineup, sitting just outside the top 10 in offensive efficiency at 114.1 points per 100 possessions in six games with LeVert, and posting the fourth-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the NBA over that span. On the other side of things, Detroit’s likely going to be playing this game without three wings in Rodney McGruder, Hamidou Diallo and Wayne Ellington. The Pacers were already surging defensively prior to losing to arguably the best offense in the NBA on Monday, in a game they didn’t have Malcolm Brogdon to boot, and should be more than up to the task to taking down an already-weak and now-shorthanded offense. The Pacers missed a ton of open shots against the Bucks, and should enjoy some regression against a far worse defense.
Speaking of those Bucks, they’re certainly on a tear. Milwaukee’s won 12 of 13 games, and while it hasn’t been fantastic against the spread, it’s playing the seventh-worst ATS team in the Boston Celtics on Wednesday.
Not only have the Celtics been a dreadful 19-24 against the spread this year, they’re also a poor 7-16 ATS away from home and enter this one with two covers in their last six games. I suspect the uncertainty surrounding Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is questionable for this one with a knee injury, is baked into the price. I’d make them eight or nine point favorites with Giannis, and even without him I don’t think this will be particularly close, considering how incredible they looked in his absence on Monday. With or without their star, take the Bucks.
The Clippers are missing two of their best defenders, yet I am in love with the under here anyway. Why? Because both teams play at a painstakingly slow pace.
In four games without Serge Ibaka, the Clippers’ pace has been the slowest in the NBA at 93.38, and the defense has been superb to the tune of a 110.5 defensive rating. What’s even cooler for under backers is that the Clippers are shooting 4.7 fewer threes per 100 possessions with Ibaka off the floor this season, so this should be a game that features a ton of drives and post-ups, which is great for soaring under the total.
San Antonio, on the other hand, has been fourth in the league with a 107.4 Defensive Rating over the past 10 games, and sits at a 97.65 pace rating, the 11th-lowest in the NBA. On top of this, the Spurs have gone 6-3 to the under over their past nine games, with a 13-8 mark at home this season. I like this to be a slow grind-fest.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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