Happy Monday! After a loaded 10-game slate on Sunday, we follow that up with an eight-game card in the NBA on Monday with plenty of fun matchups, including a nationally-televised affair. With so much to choose from, let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to bet. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
It’s buy, buy, buy on the Hornets for me in wake of the LaMelo Ball injury. Sure, Ball was good — very good, in fact — but this Hornets team was good before he entered the starting lineup and is still strong enough to win this game against San Antonio. And, while Ball breathed life into this offense, the team’s defense really suffered with him at the helm. In 799 minutes without Ball on the floor this season, the Hornets have actually allowed a whole 6.2 fewer points per 100 possessions. I’m betting on the Hornets defense to keep this one very close in what should be a low-scoring game against another great defense.
Speaking of defense, how about the Indiana Pacers? They rank fifth in points allowed per 100 possessions ever since inserting Caris LeVert into the starting lineup five games ago, and will now try their luck against a Bucks team without Giannis Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee is scoring 10.5 fewer points per 100 possessions without Giannis on the floor this season, and in those minutes have really relied on the services of Khris Middleton, who’s seen a 7.4% boost in usage. Well, these Pacers have also allowed just 34.4% shooting from behind the arc over that five-game span, which will force the Bucks to try something different. I suspect it will take Milwaukee a few games to find its footing on offense without Giannis, and so I’m bearish on it against a good defense on Monday. On the other side of the coin, the Bucks defense still has a pretty decent 110 Defensive Rating without Giannis this season, so I don’t have as many concerns for the Bucks on that end of the floor. Take the under here.
Can you trust the Boston Celtics against the spread? No. They’re 2-5 ATS over their past seven, and 19-23 for the season. Can you trust the Boston Celtics against the spread on the road? Um, definitely not. Boston is 7-5 ATS on the road and 4-6 as the road underdog. So, can you bet on the Boston Celtics in this game? Absolutely, positively, no.
There are only three profitable spots to take Boston this season, and they’re all when the C’s play at home. Memphis, on the other hand, has covered in two of its past three and has shown the ability to find a way past some of the better defenses in the NBA. With no Kemba Walker tonight, things should get even tougher for Boston. Memphis wins.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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