There are six games for Sunday’s NBA main slate with one game tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET — the Miami Heat at the Orlando Magic. There is one game at 7:30 p.m. ET — the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Atlanta Hawks. Two games tip-off at 8:00 p.m. ET - the Boston Celtics at the Houston Rockets and the Portland Trail Blazers at the Minnesota Timberwolves. The late-night hammers are the Los Angeles Clippers at the New Orleans Pelicans and the Toronto Raptors at the Chicago Bulls, which start at 9:00 p.m. ET. The Hawks, Timberwolves, Thunder, Trail Blazers and Raptors are all playing the second leg of a back-to-back. DK Sportsbook has one game with a double-digit spread — Celtics (-11). There are two games with an O/U of at least 230 — POR/MIN (233.5) and TOR/CHI (230).
Let’s break down some of the top studs and values at each position to help you build your lineups.
Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, $9,300 – I was going to write up Damian Lillard here, as he has a fantastic matchup and the highest projection on the slate. I decided to go with Young, though, because his projection is the second-highest on the slate and he’s $1,000 cheaper than Lillard. Plus, his projected ownership is almost half of Lillard's. Young is averaging 1.36 DKFP per minute and has gone for 45.25, 52.25, and 54 DKFP in the past three games. He’s played the Cavaliers twice this season and put up 56.25 and 37.5 DKFP. On the season, Cleveland boosts the fantasy points per minute to point guards by 4% above league average and increases 3-pointers by 15.75% above league average.
Other Options – Damian Lillard ($10,300), Kyle Lowry ($8,600), Victor Oladipo ($8,400)
Kevin Porter Jr., Houston Rockets vs. Boston Celtics, $5,000 – Porter is legit. Yo, Hammer, break it down. He can get his own shot, finishes strong at the basket, is in control when directing the offense and contributes on the defensive side of the ball. In two games with the Rockets, he’s put up 42.25 and 47.75 DKFP. In the most recent game, both John Wall and Victor Oladipo were out so he garnered a 30.1% usage rate. In the other game, Wall was out but Oladipo played. Porter Jr. had a 21.7% usage rate in that game while Oladipo was at 34.6%. In addition, that game was a blowout so Porter Jr. got a ton of run in garbage time. So this is not a free square like the other two games when he was priced at $3,200. The price is still palatable but if the ownership gets too high, then I would look to pivot.
Other Options – Tomas Satoransky ($3,200), Ricky Rubio ($5,700)
Paul George, Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans, $8,100 – George is averaging 1.28 DKFP per minute and he’s gone for 40.25 and 47.75 DKFP in the last two games. The Pelicans are 28th in defensive efficiency and he’s projected slightly above Zach LaVine, who is priced $1,100 more.
Other Option – Zach LaVine ($9,200), Collin Sexton ($7,800), Victor Oladipo ($8,400), Norman Powell ($7,400)
Gary Trent Jr., Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves, $4,900 – These two teams played yesterday with Trent Jr. producing 23.25 DKFP. On the season, he’s averaging 0.74 DKFP per minute. I know, not exciting. With that said, since entering the starting lineup 22 games ago, Trent Jr. has averaged 35.5 minutes per game and 15.5 shot attempts. He’s only been shooting 41% from the field but can get hot on any night. He has a high of 41.25 DKFP on the season. The Timberwolves play at the third-fastest pace and are 26th in defensive efficiency. Against shooting guards, they boost the fantasy points per minute by 9.85% above league average.
Other Option – Kevin Porter Jr. ($5,000), Tyler Herro ($5,500)
Jimmy Butler, Miami Heat at Orlando Magic, $9,400 – Butler has been on quite the roll lately, as he’s gone for 53.75, 62.5, 51.25, 59.5 and 62 DFKP in the past five games. The usage rate has been 35.7%, 29.6%, 30.9%, 36.5% and 30.5% over that stretch. Bam Adebayo has missed a few games and will be out for this contest as well, so the elevated usage should continue being there. The Magic boost the fantasy points per minute to small forwards by 8.48% above league average and Butler just went for 62.5 DKFP against them two games ago.
Other Option – Kawhi Leonard ($9,000), Jaylen Brown ($8,200), Norman Powell ($7,400)
DeAndre’ Bembry, Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls, $4,400 – With the Raptors missing a ton of players due to health protocols, Bembry has started the past two games and played 37 and 25 minutes while producing 23.75 and 27.5 DKFP. He’s only averaging 0.7 DKFP per minute on the season but he should play a ton of minutes in this one and the Bulls play at the sixth-fastest pace so there should be plenty of possessions.
Other Options – Jake Layman ($3,600)
I hope to not get in trouble for this, but I don’t like paying up for any of the power forwards on this slate.
Other Option – None
KJ Martin Jr., Houston Rockets vs. Boston Celtics, $4,500 – Due to all the injuries on the Rockets, Martin Jr. has played 28.5 and 32.3 minutes over the past two games. Against a stout Jazz team, he went for 15 points, 10 rebounds, one assist, three steals and one block. Against the Kings, he contributed 13 points, one 3-pointer, nine rebounds and three blocks. The points may not always be there but he’s a high-energy, hustle player so rebounds and defensive stats should provide a relatively high floor.
Other Option – Jake Layman ($3,600), Chuma Okeke ($3,700), Larry Nance Jr. ($4,900)
Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Portland Trail Blazers, $9,100 – Towns is coming off a 60-DKFP performance against these same Trail Blazers yesterday. Past performance is not indicative of future results but we know that Towns is a fantastic fantasy player, as he’s averaging 1.41 DKFP per minute on the season. Now, since returning to action 14 games ago, the production hasn’t been consistent as he’s gone for fewer than 40 DKFP four times and scored at least 50 DKFP in five games. With that said, I like the price, and Towns has been a consistent option throughout his career, so maybe he’s just getting back into the groove after a long layoff.
Other Option – Nikola Vucevic ($9,900), Clint Capela ($7,700), Jarrett Allen ($8,200)
Justin Patton, Houston Rockets vs. Boston Celtics, $5,400 – Patton has started four of the past five games and played 26, 32, 25 and 29 minutes. He’s produced 20.25, 25.5, 11 and 28.75 DKFP over that span. He’s been very consistent in what he does, which is grab rebounds and rack up defensive stats. He’s grabbed five, six, six and five rebounds and three, four, one and three steals. The block numbers have been two, one, zero and one.
Other Options – Enes Kanter ($6,900) and Chris Boucher ($7,000: questionable)
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