Seven of the top 10 ranked golfers will look to add The Genesis Invitational trophy to their mantle. Tyrrell Hatton, Webb Simpson and Patrick Reed will not be in attendance, but this is the strongest field we’ve seen since the Masters Tournament back in November of last year. Even with the usual, top-heavy field, The Genesis Invitational surprisingly has been a tournament won by betting favorites or longshots with deep odds. The average winning odds over the past seven years is +7100, with Dustin Johnson being the shortest at +900 and James Hahn being the longest at +20000. More recently, though, this tournament has seen fewer golfers with longer odds win. Aside from J.B. Holmes at +15000 a couple of years ago, Bubba Watson was the longest at +5000 dating back to 2016.
Here are the bets we should be considering this week on DraftKings Sportsbook.
The number one driver of the golf ball plays this course well, finishing top 5 last season and 15th the previous year. Playing out of the rough won’t be an issue, which should give those who are long off-the-tee more of an advantage this week. Even though Riviera is challenging, it also yields a good amount of eagles, and only Matthew Wolff (+8000) ranks higher than him in eagles gained over the previous 24 rounds. People make so much of Bryson’s distance, but not many people talk about how great a putter he is, especially on poa annua. Over his last 50 rounds, he ranks third in SG: Putting on this surface.
As I mentioned in the DraftKings Preview article, the big-hitting Aussie has a fantastic record during this part of the schedule, particularly in California, winning the Farmers last season and finishing with two top 5s in his previous three starts here (2016, 2019). In both tournaments, Leishman gained an average of 8.5 strokes T2G. Last season, he lost 2.7 strokes on these greens, but still gained 5.3 strokes with his irons, something he does exceptionally well here.
Smith hasn’t been playing well recently, but he’s still one of the top-ranked golfers in the field, sitting at 31st in the OWGR. His irons have been cold over his previous three tournaments, but similar to Brooks Koepka (+2500) at the Waste Management, this is more of a +EV play over recent form. Smith has lost strokes off-the-tee every year he’s played here but has gained with his irons in four of five events here. Cam has also gained strokes around the green in four of five starts at Riviera CC, which is the type of experience you want around this course.
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