It’s Thursday, which means we’ve got a short, yet fun five-game slate in the NBA, including a pair of nationally televised games which should certainly be worth watching. With some back-to-backs and injuries scattered throughout the slate, there should be some lines worth exploiting here. Let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to take on this slate. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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As long as Christian Wood remains out for the Rockets, there is value in fading them. That includes Thursday night, where the Heat are short road favorites in Houston.
The Rockets have not won since losing Christian Wood three games ago, and in those contests they have ranked fourth-worst in defense, allowing 120.8 points per 100 possessions and dead last in rebounding, grabbing just 44% of available boards. In those games, opponents have shot 50% in the paint, one of the worst marks in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo should be able to have his way down low against a weakened Rockets defense, which John Wall and P.J. Tucker both called “s****y” after Tuesday’s loss to New Orleans.
Toronto should be pretty gassed after its win over Washington on Wednesday night, in which they put up 137 points, and the team stands 1-2 against the spread on the second night of back-to-backs and 0-3 straight up. Boston is desperate for a get-right spot, having lost back-to-back games against some of the strongest competition out West in the Jazz and Suns, and should get one here against the tired legs on the other side of the court.
The Raptors rely heavily on the three-ball, ranking fifth in the NBA with a 39.1% three-point percentage and attempting the third-most per game, but on the second night of back-to-backs their number has dipped to 37.3%, and that number in their most recent game on no rest was 34.2%.
Boston’s got the seventh-best three-point defense in the NBA, so with that factored in, the C’s should be able to neutralize Toronto’s biggest threat.
It makes sense this total is fairly high, with the Sixers ranking fourth in pace, and the Trail Blazers not too far behind in 13th, but when you focus in on the last five for both teams, there might be even more reason to believe we could get a higher total.
The Blazers have won three of five despite playing virtually no defense, sitting 27th in defensive efficiency over that span with 117.5 points allowed per 100 possessions. On the other end of the floor, they’ve shot 39.6% from three, which ranks 11th. Portland’s inability to slow down offenses coupled with their continued prowess shooting the basketball should mean they’re not a liability when it comes to the over.
Also consider the fact that, along with their fast pace, the Sixers get out in transition the seventh-most in basketball, according to Synergy, and the Blazers allow the fourth-most points per game in transition. There should be plenty of running and gunning.
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