The NBA is the Wild West right now given COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. We slightly improved to 31-23 on the season last week. Let’s look to keep cashing tickets on Monday.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Back on Jerami Grant this week, but we’re going to a new prop here. His scoring seems to have finally leveled off, so we’ll take a break from the points prop. This is likely because defenses have more on film and are starting to key in on Grant as Detroit’s top scorer. That’s meant more setting up teammates, and we can see it in the numbers. Grant’s averaging just 2.9 assists on the season, but he’s exceeded 2.5 in seven of his past nine games. During that nine-game stretch, Grant is averaging 4.1 assists per game, giving us a slight edge of the number.
Zeller is six games into his return from a broken hand but played 18 minutes or less in his first three games back. He did grab exactly seven boards in two of those games, so he can clean the glass, even with limited opportunity. In the three games since, Zeller’s averaging 30 minutes per game and pulling down 11.7 rebounds. I don’t think the number has caught up to Zeller’s new role, and will gladly take the plus money on 8.5.
Not a perfect comparison to say Haliburton is in the same situation as Zeller, but the rookie has seen his minutes jump for the Kings. This number is spot on with Haliburton’s season average, but given the extra minutes, we can expect more boards. He’s played at least 30 minutes in each of his past four contests, averaging five rebounds during this stretch. Haliburton has gone over 3.5 rebounds in four of the past five outings that he’s seen at least 30 minutes. I project the minutes will be there again, and the production should come along with it.
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