clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NFL Best Bets: Football Picks, Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for the NFC Championship Game: Buccaneers vs. Packers

Julian Edlow gives his best NFL bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for the NFC Championship game between the Buccaneers and Packers.

Championship Sunday is here in the NFL, and we have a matchup in the NFC between two legendary quarterbacks with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. It doesn’t get better than this. With a frigid game expected at Lambeau Field, here are a few plays that stand out most on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

Unreasonable Odds Podcast Boost: Travis Kelce to record 100+ yards and score a touchdown has been boosted to +225!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers

Davante Adams OVER 7.5 receptions (-152)

It’s a high number with plenty of juice, but with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, there’s no way the Packers don’t force-feed their stud in this game. Tampa has one of the best run defenses in the NFL, complicating things for Aaron Jones and the rest of the RBs, but Aaron Rodgers will get creative in ways to get Adams the ball on quick routes. Adams averages 8.3 receptions per game this season, and we saw how Green Bay may plan to use him last week against the Rams. Even in a matchup against Jalen Ramsey last week, Adams was able to snag 9-of-10 targets. He should see at least that workload again in this game.

Davante Adams First Touchdown Scorer (+525)

Maybe the most impressive prop in the NFL is Adams’ first touchdown run. He’s played in 15 total games this season and somehow has a 6-9 record as the first TD scorer. At numbers like +600-800, that has him at plus-28 units on the season. The odds are lessening, but I’ll still ride at +525.

Packers First Half Team Total: OVER 13.5 (-125)

The Packers have been an insanely impressive first-half team this season, building leads early. Green Bay averages an NFL-best 18.7 points in the first half, and almost never have a dud. Through 17 games, the Pack has scored at least 14 points in the first half 15 times! The only two fails were both on the road, scoring 10 in Tampa and 13 in New Orleans.

Packers -3.5 (-109)

In the end, I think the Packers are simply too good at home — where Rodgers covers at a nearly 70% clip as a favorite of seven or fewer points. I don’t expect a bad game from Tampa, but I think keeping up offensively could prove an issue. The Bucs got 21 points off the Saints’ first three turnovers last week, turning it over four times overall. Rodgers isn’t going to give Tom Brady that chance, he’s going to protect the ball. In a mistake-free game, I like Green Bay. And if a QB does make a mistake, I do lean toward it being Brady. He nearly threw a costly one last week that would’ve changed the game. Now he goes outdoors to brave the elements in Green Bay.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.

For sports betting, head over to DraftKings Sportsbook or download the DK Sportsbook app.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/MI), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA) or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN).21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See for full terms and conditions.