It’s hard to know what a sleeper even is anymore when it comes to Fantasy Football, but, for the purposes of this article, we’ll use the term to mean an asset that’s likely to be undervalued heading into a given week. A player that’s going to be overlooked when it comes to ownership, yet one that has a reasonable path to make people regret that decision. Someone who might set your lineup apart from the pack in a GPP, if you will.
With that in mind, let’s go position-by-position for an early look at Week 4’s slate on DraftKings.
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EDITOR’S NOTE: Sunday’s Patriots-Chiefs game has been postponed, with the game scheduled to be played Monday night at 7:05 p.m. ET.
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QUARTERBACK
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks, $5,400
There’s five quarterbacks on this slate that are currently averaging at least 28.0 DKFP per game — and it’s a group that doesn’t include Lamar Jackson ($8,100) — so I don’t think I’m going out on a limb when I suggest that most people will be paying up for a QB this Sunday. However, if that’s not necessarily an appealing strategy to you, there are options like Fitzpatrick readily available for the frugal. Honestly, the veteran could be an interesting way to differentiate any chalk Seahawks exposure. For instance, instead of pairing Russell Wilson ($7,800) with a few of his favorite receivers, why not try a game stack where you bring back those Seattle skill-position pieces with Fitzpatrick? I mean, the 38-year-old does come into this matchup with the league’s fifth-highest on-target attempt rate (82.3%). Fitzpatrick has also notched 25-plus DKFP in his past two starts and he isn’t averse to calling his own number near the goal line. Going up against the NFC’s second-worst pass defense by DVOA in what should be a negative script, Fitzpatrick will easily have the matchup and the volume to impress this weekend.
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RUNNING BACK
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots, $6,400
Editor’s Note: Sunday’s game between the Chiefs and Patriots has been postponed and has been taken off Sunday’s main NFL slate.
There will not be many opportunities this season to grab elements of Kansas City’s offense at a depressed ownership, but New England’s defense might have just enough luster to scare people away. It’s also worth mentioning that Edwards-Helaire hasn’t exactly been exploding off the TV screen since Week 1. To wit, in the Chiefs’ past two wins, the rookie has been held out of the end zone and limited to just 102 rushing yards on 30 carries. He’s easy to overlook, despite having a higher ceiling than almost any skill-position player in the NFL. Not only does CEH play for an explosive offensive squad that currently ranks fourth in points generated per drive (3.14), but his 66 touches through three games put him in elite company. In fact, just Derrick Henry ($7,400), Josh Jacobs ($6,800) and Ezekiel Elliott ($7,800) have had more chances with the ball in their hands so far in 2020; something that wouldn’t be possible without Edwards-Helaire registering 14 targets going back to Week 2. His workload is stable, his upside is tremendous and he possesses all the traits of a script-proof RB. I’d argue his salary should be above $7K each and every slate.
WIDE RECEIVER
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens at Washington Football Team, $6,300
After managing just 70 net passing yards in their 34-20 loss to the Chiefs in Week 3, I have my doubts that the Ravens’ receiving corps will be all that popular this weekend. It certainly doesn’t help that Washington comes into Week 4 with the second-best pass defense in the NFL by DVOA, either. Still, what makes an asset like Brown tantalizing is his ceiling, not his cavernous floor. While we’ve yet to see a truly big play from the Oklahoma product in 2020, he does lead Baltimore in targets (18) and catches (12) through three games. Brown’s also mustered more air yards (243) than every other WR on the Ravens’ roster combined. Let us not forget that this is a man that put up 33.7 DKFP on just four touches in a game against Miami last season. He’s overflowing with fantasy potential and he’s playing for an offense with an implied team total above 30 points in Week 4. In general, I’m expecting a bounce-back performance from Baltimore and Brown should be a huge part of that.
TIGHT END
Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Baltimore Ravens, $3,500
I wrote up Thomas in this same spot last week and while the return wasn’t great (7.1 DKFP), I feel as though I have to go back to the well at least one more time. The 29-year-old is just doing everything you could possibly want from a cheap TE and he’s a little bit of luck away from a massive output. Thomas will enter Week 4 tied for third among all tight ends in 2020 with 24 targets and fifth at the position with 190 air yards. He’s logged an 83.1% snap share and, maybe most impressive of all, he’s been Dwayne Haskins’ ($5,000) intended receiver on all three throws the QB’s made from inside the opponent’s 10-yard line this season. Still, considering how poorly that’s all translated to actual results the past two games, I’d be shocked if Thomas draws a double-digit ownership this Sunday. That’s fine by me.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.