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NBA Best Bets: Basketball Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for September 17

Julian Edlow gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday’s NBA betting card.

Just a one-game card in the NBA on Thursday, as the Celtics and Heat meet for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

BOS ML (-141)

The Celtics have been a solid bounce-back team in the playoffs, going 2-1 SU and ATS off of losses (all in the Toronto series). Miami is a super tough team, and they have not stumbled coming off big wins. The Heat are 9-1 ATS in the postseason, so they’ve been a very tough fade. But Boston should be the more desperate team in this one, making the necessary adjustments defensively, and focusing on maintaining offensive efficiency down the stretch. Every game of this series should be a grind, but I lean C’s in this one.

Marcus Smart 3-pointers: OVER 2.5 (+110)

Smart’s been absolutely launching since the start of the Toronto series, hitting five-plus 3-pointers four times in his last eight games. He’s been pulling from deep even more frequently in his last three games, going 6-of-11 in Game 6 vs. TOR, 2-of-10 in Game 7 and 6-for-13 from deep in the series opener against Miami. Given the volume we’ve seen here recently, I’ll take plus-money on the over.

Jae Crowder 3-pointers: OVER 2.5 (-152)

Like Smart, Crowder is on the floor primarily for his defense, but he’s getting huge minutes, and it’s led to tons of opportunities to catch-and-shoot from deep. Crowder has made at least three triples in each of his last six playoff games, shooting 27-for-60 during that span. That’s 4.5 makes per game on an average of 10 attempts! We have to lay juice on this one, but this feels like the number should be set at 3.5.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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