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3M Open Picks: PGA TOUR DraftKings Sportsbook Pool Predictions

Geoff Ulrich shares his thoughts on the free-to-play pool questions on DraftKings Sportsbook for the PGA TOUR’s 3M Open.

After two weeks at Muirfield Village, the PGA TOUR heads to TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota this week for the second running of the 3M Open. The course played as the 14th easiest venue on the PGA TOUR last year and should present a much easier test than what the players saw last week in Ohio. Last year, Matthew Wolff won the event at 21-under in thrilling fashion with an eagle on the last hole.

TPC Twin Cities sets up as a Par 71 that should play over 7,400 yards. It has bentgrass greens and has some of the easiest to hit fairways on the PGA TOUR, making this a great place for solid drivers of the golf ball to flourish.

DraftKings has a $500 free-to-play pool on DraftKings Sportsbook that enables their users to get in on this week’s PGA TOUR action. Additionally, you can create private pools to play with friends or family. To participate in the pool, choose winners on each of 10 unique props offered up by the contest and compete for free prizes. Play the free pool here: DraftKings Sportsbook Pools.

DraftKings users can also get in on the PGA TOUR action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DK Sportsbook app. For future pool action, check out DraftKings Sportsbook Pools.

Regardless of how you’re approaching things, I’ve written up my thoughts on this week’s DraftKings Sportsbook pool and have tried to give you decisive picks and strategies to employ at each level. Hope you enjoy.

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Who will have the best finishing position? Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau or 2 or more tie

Both Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka are coming off horrid weeks at the Memorial. Johnson shot 80-80 to miss the cut, while Koepka complained about knee issues on the weekend and had a horrible Sunday. Finau is the lowest ranked player here but carries some good form after posting an 8th place finish last week. He also has the highest finish of the three at this week’s venue—T23 in 2019.

Choice: Dustin Johnson

As bad as his two rounds were last week, he looked in fine form prior to the Memorial. He’s thrived at easier venues so far this year and should be able to unleash his best weapon (driver) a ton at TPC Twin Cities.

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Who will have the best finishing position? Tommy Fleetwood, Paul Casey, Lucas Glover or 2 or more tie

Fleetwood is making his first start since the COVID-19 stoppage this week. The Englishman had been quarantining at home but is getting ready for a three week stretch of golf. He’ll likely have some competitive rust to shake off but is the best player of the three when in form. Casey had one bad hole last week which caused him to miss the weekend. Glover has the least upside of the three but has been playing consistent golf as he’s made five cuts in a row since the restart.

Choice: Paul Casey

Casey made a quintuple bogey last week on a par 3, but otherwise was playing quite well. He won’t have the rust that Fleetwood does and is an overall better player than Glover.

Who will have the best finishing position? Bubba Watson, Harris English, Matthew Wolff or 2 or more tie

Watson landed a T10 at Colonial in his first start back but otherwise has been terrible. He did show some signs of life last week at the Memorial, landing a T32 finish and was really stroking his irons well, gaining +7.8 strokes for the week on APP. Wolff has played alright of late too, landing a runner-up finish and a T22 last week. English has been the most consistent of the bunch, landing top-20 finishes in each of his last two starts. He’s gained +3.5 or strokes on APP in his last two events.

Choice: Harris English

This one is close, but I’ll side with the more consistent English, who seems to be trending the best of the three. He’s played well all season and seems ripe for a breakthrough week soon.

Who will have the best finishing position? Russell Henley, Luke List, Sam Burns or 2 or more tie

All three of these players have shown some superb form over the last month or so. Henley finished T7 at the Workday Charity Open two weeks ago, and was fourth in SG:TTG there for the week—and ranks fourth in that same stat over the last 50-rounds. List and Burns deserve equal attention though. Burns finished T7 at this event last season and was in contention at the Workday as well before falling back there late. List finished T10 in tough conditions last week and was a recent winner on the KF Tour.

Choice: Russell Henley

I’m high on the chances for both Henley and Burns this week. As tempting as it is to choose the “tie” option here, I’ll side with Henley, who beat out the younger Burns by 10 places at the Workday.

Who will have the best finishing position? Erik van Rooyen, Ryan Moore, Brian Harman or 2 or more tie

Harman has been on a bit of a poor run of late, missing three straight cuts. His ball-striking has been a bit poor of late and he’s going against two players who showed some form last week. Van Rooyen finished a tidy T22 at the Memorial, gaining +8.4 strokes on APP alone, the second highest mark in the field for the week in that stat. Moore was alright too, as he broke a multiple missed-cut streak with a T40. Moore did miss the cut at this venue last season while Harman finished T7.

Choice: Erik van Rooyen

He may have the least amount of experience on the PGA TOUR of the three but he’s likely the best player from this group at the moment. Coming off a massive week, expect some follow through from him here.

Who will have the best finishing position? Doc Redmon, Dylan Frittelli, Max Homa or 2 or more tie

Redmon missed the cut last week but has been a solid start in DFS since the restart. He’s now gained +2 or more strokes on APP in five straight starts and should be in a great position to bounce back this week at an easier venue. Frittelli has also flashed some upside of late, landing a T22 finish last week and a T8 four weeks ago at the RBC Heritage. His tee to green game has been saved by solid around the green work though. Homa has missed three cuts in a row but has been belied by a poor putter. He could easily flip the switch soon with that club.

Choice: Max Homa

Homa really hasn’t struck the ball that poorly of late and feels ripe for a better week soon. Redmon has played the best of the three but will likely be a popular target in this group.

Who will have the best finishing position? Henrik Norlander, Carlos Ortiz, Patrick Rodgers or 2 or more tie

Editor’s note: Carlos Ortiz has withdrawn from the 3M Open.

Norlander’s recent form is easily the best of the three from this group. The Swede has made four cuts in a row and finished an impressive T6 last week at the Memorial. He did gain over +8 strokes on the greens alone though at the Memorial and could be due for some big-time regression with that club this week. Ortiz hasn’t done much since the restart but did finish T5 at this event last year. Rodgers has been inconsistent of late but posted a T18 last week at Muirfield.

Choice: Patrick Rodgers

Norlander has played the best of the three but a switch to an easier venue could open the door for big hitting Patrick Rodgers, who has struck the ball well off the tee of late. I like him here for a solid follow-up to his top-20 from last week.

Who will have the best finishing position? Jhonattan Vegas, Will Gordon, Charley Hoffman or 2 or more tie

Vegas and Hoffman are two veterans who have shown some decent form over the last month or so. Vegas missed the cut his last time out but was previously T24-T17 in his last two starts. Hoffman has shown some real confidence of late, landing a T7 his last time out at the Workday. He showed a lot better form with the driver there, gaining +2.4 strokes OTT. Gordon flashed with a T3 finish at the Travelers four events ago. He’s an interesting young player but might be hard-pressed to replicate that magical week anytime soon.

Choice: Charley Hoffman

Hoffman is trending the best of three and has been a player who typically builds off a good result or two. I like him in this group against two other trending players.

Who will have the best finishing position? Troy Merritt, Brice Garnett, Charles Howell III or 2 or more tie

All three of these players played in the inaugural 3M Open and all three posted decent results. Merritt was the best of the three, hitting for a T7 here last year. He missed the cut last week but has flashed some form since the restart, hitting for a T8 in Detroit three weeks ago. Garnett also made the cut here last year, finishing T23. He’s missed three of four cuts since the restart, though, making him a bit of a Hail Mary play. Howell made the cut last week but didn’t play particularly well. Still, he’s been the most consistent player of the three over his career.

Choice: Charles Howell

Despite not striking the ball well last week, I still like Howell for a bounce-back here. Howell has made a career out of beating up on weaker fields and looks likely to continue that trend this week.

Who will have the best finishing position? Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Branden Grace, Sepp Straka or 2 or more tie

Straka might be the lowest ranked in the OWGR from this group but he’s really been firing with the putter of late. The Austrian gained over +6 strokes putting at Muirfield last week and has made three cuts in a row now. Grace and Cabrera-Bello have really been struggling of late and are both on multiple missed cut streaks. Both are class players long-term though and could pop-off for a decent week at any time.

Choice: Branden Grace

Grace didn’t make the cut last week but gained +4.5 strokes on APP alone. He should be able to build on that and if he cleans up his putting even a little, he should be in for a solid bounce-back week.

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